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Predictions › J1 League › Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka
J1 LeagueSat 12 Sept, 10:00 UTC

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka prediction

Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Sanfrecce HiroshimaHome
1.97 : 1.03
expected goals
Cerezo OsakaAway
59%Sanfreece
23%Draw
19%Cerezo Osaka
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.61

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.61.

Prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Chance
59%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.0, Cerezo Osaka 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.61
Both teams to score
56%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
60% chancePrice 1.611 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 2.511 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sanfrecce Hiroshima 59%, the draw 23% and Cerezo Osaka 19%. The bookmakers agree and make Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite at 1.59.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima took 8 points from their last 5 games and Cerezo Osaka took 7 from 5. Sanfrecce Hiroshima come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Cerezo Osaka won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.0. Cerezo Osaka score 1.6 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 11 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima games and 11 of Cerezo Osaka games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2 and Cerezo Osaka won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2, Cerezo Osaka 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 60% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League on Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.61.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

Cerezo Osaka form

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2, Cerezo Osaka won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2, Cerezo Osaka 1.

Our call

We expect Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score about 2.0 goals and Cerezo Osaka about 1.0. That points to Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.61. Our bold bet is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.5 at 2.51.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SanfreeceCerezo Osaka
Games played2020
Wins109
Draws56
Losses55
Goals scored3531
Goals conceded2023
Scored per game1.81.6
Conceded per game1.01.1
Home record6W 3D 1L6W 4D 1L
Away record4W 2D 4L3W 2D 4L
Clean sheets35%30%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win59%1.701.59-6.8%
A Draw23%4.414.30-2.4%
Cerezo Osaka to win19%5.375.00-6.9%
Over 3.5 goals40%2.512.25-10.5%
Under 3.5 goals60%1.661.61-3.3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -0.559%1.681.56-7.6%
Cerezo Osaka +0.541%2.462.30-6.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals58%1.73
Over 3.5 goals35%2.83
Both teams to score56%1.79
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw81%1.23
Cerezo Osaka or Draw41%2.42
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win and Over 2.540%2.51
Cerezo Osaka to win and Over 2.511%8.71
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet36%2.80
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet14%7.20

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.7%
2-110.0%
2-09.7%
1-09.2%
3-16.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Our prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.61.

What is the score prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score 2.0 goals and Cerezo Osaka 1.0.

Will both teams score in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Both teams to score has a 56% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Sanfrecce Hiroshima last 20 games and 11 of Cerezo Osaka last 20.

How are Sanfrecce Hiroshima playing?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, W, newest first.

How are Cerezo Osaka playing?

Cerezo Osaka have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka last met?

It ended Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2, Cerezo Osaka 1. In the last 2 meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima won 2 and Cerezo Osaka won 0.

What is the best bet for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.61, with a 60% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.