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Predictions › Primeira Liga › Santa Clara vs Braga
Primeira LigaSun 20 Sept, 17:00 UTC

Santa Clara vs Braga prediction

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa ClaraHome
1.36 : 1.26
expected goals
BragaAway
38%Santa Clara
28%Draw
34%Braga
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.34

Quick answer

Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Braga is Santa Clara to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

Prediction
Santa Clara to win
Chance
38%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Santa Clara 1.4, Braga 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.34
Both teams to score
54%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
74% chanceFair price 1.341 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.571 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Santa Clara 38%, the draw 28% and Braga 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Santa Clara took 11 points from their last 5 games and Braga took 8 from 5. Santa Clara come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Santa Clara won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Braga won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Santa Clara score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.1. Braga score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Santa Clara games and 13 of Braga games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Santa Clara won 1 and Braga won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Santa Clara 2, Braga 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Santa Clara vs Braga: Santa Clara shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Santa Clara host Braga in the Primeira Liga on Sun 20 Sept, 17:00 at Estádio de São Miguel. Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Braga is Santa Clara to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

Santa Clara form

Santa Clara have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

Braga form

Braga have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Santa Clara won 1, Braga won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Santa Clara 2, Braga 1.

Our call

We expect Santa Clara to score about 1.4 goals and Braga about 1.3. That points to Santa Clara to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.57.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Santa ClaraBraga
Games played2020
Wins88
Draws67
Losses65
Goals scored2732
Goals conceded2327
Scored per game1.41.6
Conceded per game1.11.4
Home record6W 1D 3L4W 5D 1L
Away record2W 5D 3L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets40%25%
Both teams scored45%70%
Over 2.5 goals40%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals74%1.34
Over 2.5 goals49%2.05
Over 3.5 goals27%3.72
Both teams to score54%1.85
Santa Clara or Draw66%1.51
Braga or Draw62%1.63
Santa Clara to win and Over 2.523%4.42
Braga to win and Over 2.520%5.10
Santa Clara clean sheet28%3.53
Braga clean sheet26%3.90

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.2%
1-09.1%
2-18.5%
0-18.4%
0-08.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Santa Clara vs Braga?

Our prediction for Santa Clara vs Braga is Santa Clara to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.34.

What is the score prediction for Santa Clara vs Braga?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Santa Clara to score 1.4 goals and Braga 1.3.

Will both teams score in Santa Clara vs Braga?

Both teams to score has a 54% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Santa Clara last 20 games and 14 of Braga last 20.

How are Santa Clara playing?

Santa Clara have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 27 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, W, W, D, newest first.

How are Braga playing?

Braga have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What happened when Santa Clara and Braga last met?

It ended Santa Clara 2, Braga 1. In the last 2 meetings Santa Clara won 1 and Braga won 1.

What is the best bet for Santa Clara vs Braga?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.34, with a 74% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.