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Predictions › Liga MX › Santos vs FC Juarez
Liga MXMon 14 Sept, 01:00 UTC

Santos vs FC Juarez prediction

Estadio Corona

SantosHome
1.70 : 1.18
expected goals
FC JuarezAway
49%Santos
25%Draw
26%Juarez
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.27

Quick answer

Our prediction for Santos vs FC Juarez is Santos to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Prediction
Santos to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Santos 1.7, FC Juarez 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.27
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
79% chanceFair price 1.272 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Santos to win and Over 2.5
32% chanceFair price 3.131 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Santos 49%, the draw 25% and FC Juarez 26%. The bookmakers agree and make Santos the favourite at 2.00.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Santos took 1 point from their last 5 games and FC Juarez took 0 from 5. Santos come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Santos won 2 of their last 9 games at home. FC Juarez won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Santos score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.9. FC Juarez score 1.1 and let in 2.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Santos games and 14 of FC Juarez games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Santos won 0 and FC Juarez won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Santos 2, FC Juarez 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 79% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Santos vs FC Juarez: Santos are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Santos host FC Juarez in the Liga MX on Mon 14 Sept, 01:00 at Estadio Corona. Our prediction for Santos vs FC Juarez is Santos to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

Santos form

Santos have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

FC Juarez form

FC Juarez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 45 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Santos won 0, FC Juarez won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Santos 2, FC Juarez 2.

Our call

We expect Santos to score about 1.7 goals and FC Juarez about 1.2. That points to Santos to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27. Our bold bet is Santos to win and Over 2.5 at 3.13.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SantosJuarez
Games played2020
Wins34
Draws33
Losses1413
Goals scored2022
Goals conceded3845
Scored per game1.01.1
Conceded per game1.92.3
Home record2W 2D 5L3W 1D 6L
Away record1W 1D 9L1W 2D 7L
Clean sheets10%0%
Both teams scored55%75%
Over 2.5 goals65%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Santos to win49%2.052.00-2.3%
A Draw25%3.963.65-7.7%
FC Juarez to win26%3.873.45-10.8%
Over 2.5 goals57%1.751.61-8.5%
Under 2.5 goals43%2.322.20-5.4%
Santos -0.548%2.071.91-7.7%
FC Juarez +0.552%1.941.77-8.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals79%1.27
Over 2.5 goals55%1.82
Over 3.5 goals33%3.06
Both teams to score57%1.74
Santos or Draw74%1.35
FC Juarez or Draw51%1.96
Santos to win and Over 2.532%3.13
FC Juarez to win and Over 2.516%6.24
Santos clean sheet31%3.26
FC Juarez clean sheet18%5.49

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.9%
2-19.6%
1-08.8%
2-08.1%
1-26.7%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Santos vs FC Juarez?

Our prediction for Santos vs FC Juarez is Santos to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.27.

What is the score prediction for Santos vs FC Juarez?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Santos to score 1.7 goals and FC Juarez 1.2.

Will both teams score in Santos vs FC Juarez?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Santos last 20 games and 15 of FC Juarez last 20.

How are Santos playing?

Santos have 3 wins, 3 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 38 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are FC Juarez playing?

FC Juarez have 4 wins, 3 draws and 13 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 45 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 2 draws and 7 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Santos and FC Juarez last met?

It ended Santos 2, FC Juarez 2. In the last 1 meeting Santos won 0 and FC Juarez won 0.

What is the best bet for Santos vs FC Juarez?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, with a 79% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.