Predictions › Brasileirao › São Paulo vs Internacional

BrasileiraoSun 20 Sept, 00:00 UTC

São Paulo vs Internacional prediction

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

São PauloHome

1.77 : 0.82

expected goals

InternacionalAway

59%São Paulo

24%Draw

16%Internacional

Eagle safe pickSão Paulo or Draw

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for São Paulo vs Internacional is São Paulo to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is São Paulo or Draw at 1.20.

Prediction: São Paulo to win
Chance: 59%
Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals: São Paulo 1.8, Internacional 0.8
Best bet: São Paulo or Draw at 1.20
Both teams to score: 47%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

São Paulo or Draw

84% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

São Paulo to win and Over 2.5

35% chanceFair price 2.871 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives São Paulo 59%, the draw 24% and Internacional 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
São Paulo took 7 points from their last 5 games and Internacional took 3 from 5. São Paulo come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
São Paulo won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Internacional won 2 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
São Paulo score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.3. Internacional score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of São Paulo games and 9 of Internacional games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, São Paulo won 1 and Internacional won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Internacional 1, São Paulo 1.
6
The safest bet
São Paulo or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

São Paulo vs Internacional: São Paulo are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

São Paulo host Internacional in the Brasileirao on Sun 20 Sept, 00:00 at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo. Our prediction for São Paulo vs Internacional is São Paulo to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is São Paulo or Draw at 1.20.

São Paulo form

São Paulo have 5 wins, 5 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, L, newest first.

Internacional form

Internacional have 5 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. São Paulo won 1, Internacional won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Internacional 1, São Paulo 1.

Our call

We expect São Paulo to score about 1.8 goals and Internacional about 0.8. That points to São Paulo to win, with 1-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is São Paulo or Draw at 1.20. Our bold bet is São Paulo to win and Over 2.5 at 2.87.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	São Paulo	Internacional
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	5
Draws	5	8
Losses	10	7
Goals scored	23	25
Goals conceded	26	26
Scored per game	1.1	1.3
Conceded per game	1.3	1.3
Home record	4W 3D 2L	3W 5D 3L
Away record	1W 2D 8L	2W 3D 4L
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Both teams scored	65%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	45%	45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.36
Over 2.5 goals	48%	2.09
Over 3.5 goals	26%	3.83
Both teams to score	47%	2.13
São Paulo or Draw	84%	1.20
Internacional or Draw	41%	2.46
São Paulo to win and Over 2.5	35%	2.87
Internacional to win and Over 2.5	8%	12.02
São Paulo clean sheet	44%	2.27
Internacional clean sheet	17%	5.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-012.7%

2-011.8%

1-111.5%

2-19.6%

0-08.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win São Paulo vs Internacional?

Our prediction for São Paulo vs Internacional is São Paulo to win, with a 59% chance. The most likely score is 1-0. Our best bet is São Paulo or Draw at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for São Paulo vs Internacional?

1-0 is the most likely score, followed by 2-0 and 1-1. We expect São Paulo to score 1.8 goals and Internacional 0.8.

Will both teams score in São Paulo vs Internacional?

Both teams to score has a 47% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of São Paulo last 20 games and 12 of Internacional last 20.

How are São Paulo playing?

How are Internacional playing?

What happened when São Paulo and Internacional last met?

It ended Internacional 1, São Paulo 1. In the last 2 meetings São Paulo won 1 and Internacional won 0.

What is the best bet for São Paulo vs Internacional?

São Paulo or Draw at 1.20, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.