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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 13 Sept, 17:45 UTC

Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba) prediction

Eva Perón

Sarmiento (Junín)Home
1.00 : 1.09
expected goals
Belgrano (Córdoba)Away
32%Sarmiento (J)
32%Draw
36%Belgrano
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win
Chance
36%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sarmiento (Junín) 1.0, Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score
43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sarmiento (Junín) to win
32% chancePrice 3.101 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sarmiento (Junín) 32%, the draw 32% and Belgrano (Córdoba) 36%. The bookmakers agree and make Belgrano (Córdoba) the favourite at 2.35.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sarmiento (Junín) took 12 points from their last 5 games and Belgrano (Córdoba) took 8 from 5. Sarmiento (Junín) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sarmiento (Junín) won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Belgrano (Córdoba) won 4 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sarmiento (Junín) score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Belgrano (Córdoba) score 1.1 and let in 0.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Sarmiento (Junín) games and 6 of Belgrano (Córdoba) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Sarmiento (Junín) won 0 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Belgrano (Córdoba) 4, Sarmiento (Junín) 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba): Belgrano (Córdoba) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sarmiento (Junín) host Belgrano (Córdoba) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 13 Sept, 17:45 at Eva Perón. Our prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Sarmiento (Junín) form

Sarmiento (Junín) have 9 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Belgrano (Córdoba) form

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sarmiento (Junín) won 0, Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Belgrano (Córdoba) 4, Sarmiento (Junín) 0.

Our call

We expect Sarmiento (Junín) to score about 1.0 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) about 1.1. That points to Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Sarmiento (Junín) to win at 3.10.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sarmiento (J)Belgrano
Games played2020
Wins99
Draws16
Losses105
Goals scored2422
Goals conceded2814
Scored per game1.21.1
Conceded per game1.40.7
Home record6W 1D 3L5W 2D 4L
Away record3W 0D 7L4W 4D 1L
Clean sheets35%55%
Both teams scored45%30%
Over 2.5 goals50%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sarmiento (Junín) to win32%3.123.10-0.8%
A Draw32%3.163.05-3.6%
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win36%2.752.35-14.5%
Over 2.5 goals37%2.682.40-10.3%
Under 2.5 goals63%1.601.50-6.1%
Sarmiento (Junín) +0.561%1.651.54-6.6%
Belgrano (Córdoba) -0.539%2.542.25-11.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals63%1.60
Over 2.5 goals35%2.87
Over 3.5 goals16%6.25
Both teams to score43%2.33
Sarmiento (Junín) or Draw64%1.57
Belgrano (Córdoba) or Draw68%1.47
Sarmiento (Junín) to win and Over 2.514%7.03
Belgrano (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.516%6.07
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet34%2.97
Belgrano (Córdoba) clean sheet37%2.73

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.3%
0-013.1%
0-112.6%
1-011.6%
1-27.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Our prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba) is Belgrano (Córdoba) to win, with a 36% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 0-1. We expect Sarmiento (Junín) to score 1.0 goals and Belgrano (Córdoba) 1.1.

Will both teams score in Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Sarmiento (Junín) last 20 games and 6 of Belgrano (Córdoba) last 20.

How are Sarmiento (Junín) playing?

Sarmiento (Junín) have 9 wins, 1 draw and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, W, W, newest first.

How are Belgrano (Córdoba) playing?

Belgrano (Córdoba) have 9 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 14 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, D, L, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Sarmiento (Junín) and Belgrano (Córdoba) last met?

It ended Belgrano (Córdoba) 4, Sarmiento (Junín) 0. In the last 1 meeting Sarmiento (Junín) won 0 and Belgrano (Córdoba) won 1.

What is the best bet for Sarmiento (Junín) vs Belgrano (Córdoba)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.