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Predictions › Eredivisie › SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen
EredivisieSat 12 Sept, 19:00 UTC

SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen prediction

Kooi Stadium

SC CambuurHome
1.30 : 2.48
expected goals
NEC NijmegenAway
18%Cambuur
19%Draw
63%NEC
Eagle safe pickNEC Nijmegen to win
1.53

Quick answer

Our prediction for SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen is NEC Nijmegen to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is NEC Nijmegen to win at 1.53.

Prediction
NEC Nijmegen to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
SC Cambuur 1.3, NEC Nijmegen 2.5
Best bet
NEC Nijmegen to win at 1.53
Both teams to score
67%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

NEC Nijmegen to win
63% chancePrice 1.531 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

NEC Nijmegen to win and both score
38% chanceFair price 2.611 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SC Cambuur 18%, the draw 19% and NEC Nijmegen 63%. The bookmakers agree and make NEC Nijmegen the favourite at 1.53.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SC Cambuur took 1 point from their last 5 games and NEC Nijmegen took 7 from 5. NEC Nijmegen come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    SC Cambuur won 0 of their last 3 games at home. NEC Nijmegen won 5 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    SC Cambuur score 1.2 goals a game and let in 3.6. NEC Nijmegen score 1.9 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of SC Cambuur games and 14 of NEC Nijmegen games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    NEC Nijmegen to win has a 63% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen: NEC Nijmegen are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SC Cambuur host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie on Sat 12 Sept, 19:00 at Kooi Stadium. Our prediction for SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen is NEC Nijmegen to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is NEC Nijmegen to win at 1.53.

SC Cambuur form

SC Cambuur have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

NEC Nijmegen form

NEC Nijmegen have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect SC Cambuur to score about 1.3 goals and NEC Nijmegen about 2.5. That points to NEC Nijmegen to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is NEC Nijmegen to win at 1.53. Our bold bet is NEC Nijmegen to win and both score at 2.61.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

CambuurNEC
Games played520
Wins08
Draws17
Losses45
Goals scored639
Goals conceded1829
Scored per game1.21.9
Conceded per game3.61.4
Home record0W 0D 3L3W 4D 4L
Away record0W 1D 1L5W 3D 1L
Clean sheets0%10%
Both teams scored80%90%
Over 2.5 goals100%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
SC Cambuur to win18%5.545.00-9.7%
A Draw19%5.254.80-8.6%
NEC Nijmegen to win63%1.591.53-4.0%
Over 3.5 goals51%1.971.87-5.3%
Under 3.5 goals49%2.031.87-7.7%
SC Cambuur +1.558%1.711.59-7.3%
NEC Nijmegen -1.542%2.402.25-6.4%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals90%1.12
Over 2.5 goals73%1.37
Over 3.5 goals52%1.92
Both teams to score67%1.49
SC Cambuur or Draw37%2.70
NEC Nijmegen or Draw82%1.22
SC Cambuur to win and Over 2.514%7.35
NEC Nijmegen to win and Over 2.551%1.98
SC Cambuur clean sheet8%11.96
NEC Nijmegen clean sheet27%3.65

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.1%
1-17.8%
1-37.6%
0-27.0%
2-25.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

Our prediction for SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen is NEC Nijmegen to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is NEC Nijmegen to win at 1.53.

What is the score prediction for SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-3. We expect SC Cambuur to score 1.3 goals and NEC Nijmegen 2.5.

Will both teams score in SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

Both teams to score has a 67% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of SC Cambuur last 5 games and 18 of NEC Nijmegen last 20.

How are SC Cambuur playing?

SC Cambuur have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games, with 6 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from 3. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, L, L, newest first.

How are NEC Nijmegen playing?

NEC Nijmegen have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 29 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for SC Cambuur vs NEC Nijmegen?

NEC Nijmegen to win at 1.53, with a 63% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.