Predictions › Bundesliga › SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 16:30 Kenya time, Europa-Park Stadion
SC Freiburg2.03 - 1.10
expected goals
Borussia MönchengladbachFreiburg 58%Draw 22%Gladbach 19%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 2.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg to win | 58% | 1.71 | 1.67 | -2.8% |
| A Draw | 22% | 4.48 | 4.00 | -10.8% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach to win | 19% | 5.16 | 4.30 | -16.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 | 1.56 | -5.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.53 | 2.40 | -5.2% |
| SC Freiburg -0.5 | 58% | 1.71 | 1.65 | -4.1% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach +0.5 | 42% | 2.40 | 2.10 | -12.5% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 1.71 |
| SC Freiburg or Draw | 81% | 1.24 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw | 42% | 2.40 |
| SC Freiburg to win and Over 2.5 | 41% | 2.44 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach to win and Over 2.5 | 13% | 7.99 |
| SC Freiburg clean sheet | 33% | 3.00 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach clean sheet | 13% | 7.61 |
Most likely scores
1-110.4%
2-19.9%
2-09.0%
1-08.3%
3-16.7%
Questions people ask
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model gives SC Freiburg a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Borussia Mönchengladbach 19%.
How many goals will there be in SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
We expect about 3.1 goals (SC Freiburg 2.03, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.10). Over 2.5 goals has a 60% chance.
Will both teams score in SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Both teams to score has a 58% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 10.4% chance, followed by 2-1 and 2-0.