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Predictions › Bundesliga › SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim
BundesligaSun 20 Sept, 17:30 UTC

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction

Home Deluxe Arena

SC Paderborn 07Home
1.27 : 2.11
expected goals
TSG HoffenheimAway
22%Paderborn
22%Draw
56%Hoffenheim
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.17

Quick answer

Our prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim is TSG Hoffenheim to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

Prediction
TSG Hoffenheim to win
Chance
56%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
SC Paderborn 07 1.3, TSG Hoffenheim 2.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.17
Both teams to score
64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
86% chanceFair price 1.172 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

TSG Hoffenheim to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price 2.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives SC Paderborn 07 22%, the draw 22% and TSG Hoffenheim 56%. The bookmakers agree and make TSG Hoffenheim the favourite at 1.61.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    SC Paderborn 07 took 1 point from their last 2 games and TSG Hoffenheim took 4 from 5. TSG Hoffenheim come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    SC Paderborn 07 score 0.0 goals a game and let in 0.5. TSG Hoffenheim score 1.8 and let in 1.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of SC Paderborn 07 games and 15 of TSG Hoffenheim games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 86% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim: TSG Hoffenheim are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

SC Paderborn 07 host TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Sun 20 Sept, 17:30 at Home Deluxe Arena. Our prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim is TSG Hoffenheim to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

SC Paderborn 07 form

SC Paderborn 07 have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read L, D, newest first.

TSG Hoffenheim form

TSG Hoffenheim have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect SC Paderborn 07 to score about 1.3 goals and TSG Hoffenheim about 2.1. That points to TSG Hoffenheim to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17. Our bold bet is TSG Hoffenheim to win and Over 2.5 at 2.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

PaderbornHoffenheim
Games played220
Wins09
Draws14
Losses17
Goals scored035
Goals conceded137
Scored per game0.01.8
Conceded per game0.51.9
Home record0W 0D 1L5W 2D 3L
Away record0W 1D 0L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets50%20%
Both teams scored0%65%
Over 2.5 goals0%75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
SC Paderborn 07 to win22%4.524.20-7.1%
A Draw22%4.564.10-10.1%
TSG Hoffenheim to win56%1.791.61-10.1%
Over 3.5 goals46%2.171.95-10.0%
Under 3.5 goals54%1.861.74-6.2%
SC Paderborn 07 +0.543%2.342.15-8.0%
TSG Hoffenheim -0.557%1.751.57-10.1%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals86%1.17
Over 2.5 goals66%1.52
Over 3.5 goals44%2.28
Both teams to score64%1.57
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw44%2.27
TSG Hoffenheim or Draw78%1.28
SC Paderborn 07 to win and Over 2.516%6.42
TSG Hoffenheim to win and Over 2.542%2.39
SC Paderborn 07 clean sheet12%8.22
TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet28%3.58

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-19.7%
1-29.6%
0-27.5%
1-36.8%
0-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Our prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim is TSG Hoffenheim to win, with a 56% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.17.

What is the score prediction for SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect SC Paderborn 07 to score 1.3 goals and TSG Hoffenheim 2.1.

Will both teams score in SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 0 of SC Paderborn 07 last 2 games and 13 of TSG Hoffenheim last 20.

How are SC Paderborn 07 playing?

SC Paderborn 07 have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 2 games, with 0 goals scored and 1 conceded. At home they have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 1. Their last 2 results read L, D, newest first.

How are TSG Hoffenheim playing?

TSG Hoffenheim have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 37 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for SC Paderborn 07 vs TSG Hoffenheim?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.17, with a 86% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.