Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

81% chanceFair price 1.232 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Schalke 04 to win and Over 2.5

32% chanceFair price 3.151 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Schalke 04 47%, the draw 25% and SV Elversberg 28%. The bookmakers agree and make Schalke 04 the favourite at 2.00.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Schalke 04 took 4 points from their last 3 games and SV Elversberg took 6 from 2. SV Elversberg come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Goals

   Schalke 04 score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. SV Elversberg score 3.5 and let in 2.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Schalke 04 games and 2 of SV Elversberg games in that run.

4. 4
   The safest bet

   Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 3 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.