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Predictions › United States › Seattle Mariners vs Athletics
MLBFri 11 Sept, 21:40 United States time

Seattle Mariners vs Athletics prediction

Sutter Health Park

Seattle MarinersAway
5.9 : 5.0
projected runs
AthleticsHome
60%Mariners
40%Athletics
Eagle value pickOver 10.5 runs
-105

Quick answer

Our prediction for Seattle Mariners vs Athletics is Seattle Mariners to win, with a 60% chance. We project Seattle Mariners 5.9 and Athletics 5.0. Our best bet is Over 10.5 runs at -105.

Prediction
Seattle Mariners to win
Chance
60%
Projected score
Seattle Mariners 6, Athletics 5
Projected total
10.9 runs
Best bet
Over 10.5 runs at -105

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Athletics +3.5
73% chanceFair price -2701 unit
★

Eagle value pick

Over 10.5 runs
53% chancePrice -105+4.3% value2 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Athletics to win
40% chancePrice +1381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Athletics 40% and Seattle Mariners 60%. The bookmakers agree and make Seattle Mariners the favourite at -167.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Athletics won 3 of their last 5 and Seattle Mariners won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Athletics won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Seattle Mariners won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    Athletics score 4.3 runs a game and let in 4.6. Seattle Mariners score 4.3 and let in 5.8. Their recent games average 8.9 and 10.1 runs in total, and the market line is 10.5.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 5 meetings, Athletics won 3 and Seattle Mariners won 2. The last one ended Seattle Mariners 2, Athletics 0.

  6. 6
    Where the value is

    Over 10.5 runs is priced at -105. Our fair price is -115, so the bookmaker pays about 4.3% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Seattle Mariners vs Athletics: Seattle Mariners are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Athletics host Seattle Mariners in the MLB on Fri 11 Sept, 21:40 at Sutter Health Park. Our prediction for Seattle Mariners vs Athletics is Seattle Mariners to win, with a 60% chance. We project Seattle Mariners 5.9 and Athletics 5.0. Our best bet is Over 10.5 runs at -105.

Athletics form

Athletics have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 86 runs scored and 92 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Seattle Mariners form

Seattle Mariners have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 85 runs scored and 116 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 5 times in our records. Athletics won 3, Seattle Mariners won 2. Last time out it finished Seattle Mariners 2, Athletics 0.

Our call

We expect Seattle Mariners to score about 5.9 runs and Athletics about 5.0. That points to Seattle Mariners to win. Our safest bet is Athletics +3.5 at -270. Our value bet is Over 10.5 runs at -105. Our bold bet is Athletics to win at +138.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

AthleticsMariners
Games played2020
Wins109
Losses1011
Runs scored8685
Runs conceded92116
Scored per game4.34.3
Conceded per game4.65.8
Home record4W 5L7W 6L
Away record6W 5L2W 5L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Athletics to win40%+148+138-4.2%
Mariners to win60%-148-167-4.5%
Athletics +1.555%-124-114+4.0%
Mariners -1.545%+124-106-13.3%
Over 10.5 runs53%-115-105+4.3%
Under 10.5 runs47%+115-114-12.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Athletics spreadCoversFair
Athletics -1.528%+255
Athletics -0.537%+173
Athletics +0.546%+118
Athletics +1.555%-124
Athletics +2.565%-182
Total runsOverUnder
8.571%29%
9.562%38%
10.553%47%
11.544%56%
12.536%64%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Athletics +3.5 wins if Athletics win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win Seattle Mariners vs Athletics?

Our prediction for Seattle Mariners vs Athletics is Seattle Mariners to win, with a 60% chance. We project Seattle Mariners 5.9 and Athletics 5.0. Our best bet is Over 10.5 runs at -105.

What is the projected score for Seattle Mariners vs Athletics?

We project Seattle Mariners 5.9 and Athletics 5.0, about 10.9 runs in total.

How are Athletics playing?

Athletics have 10 wins and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 86 runs scored and 92 conceded. At home they have 4 wins and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Seattle Mariners playing?

Seattle Mariners have 9 wins and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 85 runs scored and 116 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins and 5 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Athletics and Seattle Mariners last met?

It ended Seattle Mariners 2, Athletics 0. In the last 5 meetings Athletics won 3 and Seattle Mariners won 2.

What is the best bet for Seattle Mariners vs Athletics?

Over 10.5 runs at -105, with a 53% chance. That price pays about 4.3% more than our fair price.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.