Seattle Mariners vs Athletics prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Mariners to win

61% chancePrice -1741 unit

★

Eagle value pick

Athletics +1.5

55% chancePrice -108+5.4% value2 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Athletics to win

39% chancePrice +1441 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Athletics 39% and Seattle Mariners 61%. The bookmakers agree and make Seattle Mariners the favourite at -174.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Athletics won 3 of their last 5 and Seattle Mariners won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Athletics won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Seattle Mariners won 2 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Athletics score 4.3 runs a game and let in 4.6. Seattle Mariners score 4.3 and let in 5.8. Their recent games average 8.9 and 10.1 runs in total, and the market line is 9.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, Athletics won 3 and Seattle Mariners won 2. The last one ended Seattle Mariners 2, Athletics 0.

6. 6
   Where the value is

   Athletics +1.5 is priced at -108. Our fair price is -121, so the bookmaker pays about 5.4% more than it should.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Athletics +3.5 wins if Athletics win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.