Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Aces to win

84% chanceFair price -5412 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Las Vegas Aces 84% and Seattle Storm 16%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Las Vegas Aces won 3 of their last 5 and Seattle Storm won 1 of their last 5. Las Vegas Aces come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Las Vegas Aces won 7 of their last 11 games at home. Seattle Storm won 1 of their last 11 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Las Vegas Aces score 90.2 points a game and let in 86.5. Seattle Storm score 84.6 and let in 90.2. Their recent games average 176.7 and 174.8 points in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 4 meetings, Las Vegas Aces won 3 and Seattle Storm won 1. The last one ended Las Vegas Aces 101, Seattle Storm 91.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Aces to win has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Aces +3.5 wins if Aces win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.