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Predictions › LaLiga › Sevilla vs Barcelona
LaLigaSat 19 Sept, 19:00 UTC

Sevilla vs Barcelona prediction

Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium

SevillaHome
1.01 : 2.16
expected goals
BarcelonaAway
16%Sevilla
21%Draw
63%Barcelona
Eagle safe pickBarcelona or Draw
1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sevilla vs Barcelona is Barcelona to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Barcelona or Draw at 1.19.

Prediction
Barcelona to win
Chance
63%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Sevilla 1.0, Barcelona 2.2
Best bet
Barcelona or Draw at 1.19
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Barcelona or Draw
84% chanceFair price 1.192 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Barcelona to win and Over 2.5
45% chanceFair price 2.231 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sevilla 16%, the draw 21% and Barcelona 63%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sevilla took 10 points from their last 5 games and Barcelona took 15 from 5. Barcelona come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sevilla won 5 of their last 10 games at home. Barcelona won 6 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sevilla score 1.2 goals a game and let in 1.4. Barcelona score 2.8 and let in 0.9. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Sevilla games and 12 of Barcelona games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Sevilla won 1 and Barcelona won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Barcelona 5, Sevilla 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Barcelona or Draw has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Sevilla vs Barcelona: Barcelona are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sevilla host Barcelona in the LaLiga on Sat 19 Sept, 19:00 at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium. Our prediction for Sevilla vs Barcelona is Barcelona to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Barcelona or Draw at 1.19.

Sevilla form

Sevilla have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

Barcelona form

Barcelona have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sevilla won 1, Barcelona won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Barcelona 5, Sevilla 2.

Our call

We expect Sevilla to score about 1.0 goals and Barcelona about 2.2. That points to Barcelona to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Barcelona or Draw at 1.19. Our bold bet is Barcelona to win and Over 2.5 at 2.23.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

SevillaBarcelona
Games played2020
Wins816
Draws41
Losses83
Goals scored2455
Goals conceded2819
Scored per game1.22.8
Conceded per game1.40.9
Home record5W 2D 3L10W 0D 1L
Away record3W 2D 5L6W 1D 2L
Clean sheets15%35%
Both teams scored60%55%
Over 2.5 goals45%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%1.20
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals39%2.55
Both teams to score57%1.76
Sevilla or Draw37%2.70
Barcelona or Draw84%1.19
Sevilla to win and Over 2.510%9.69
Barcelona to win and Over 2.545%2.23
Sevilla clean sheet11%8.70
Barcelona clean sheet36%2.76

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.9%
0-29.8%
1-19.7%
0-18.5%
1-37.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Our prediction for Sevilla vs Barcelona is Barcelona to win, with a 63% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Barcelona or Draw at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Sevilla vs Barcelona?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 0-2 and 1-1. We expect Sevilla to score 1.0 goals and Barcelona 2.2.

Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Sevilla last 20 games and 11 of Barcelona last 20.

How are Sevilla playing?

Sevilla have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 24 goals scored and 28 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, L, W, W, newest first.

How are Barcelona playing?

Barcelona have 16 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 55 goals scored and 19 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, W, W, newest first.

What happened when Sevilla and Barcelona last met?

It ended Barcelona 5, Sevilla 2. In the last 2 meetings Sevilla won 1 and Barcelona won 1.

What is the best bet for Sevilla vs Barcelona?

Barcelona or Draw at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.