PredictionsUnited KingdomSheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
ChampionshipSun 13 Sept, 12:00 United Kingdom time

Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction

Bramall Lane

Sheffield UnitedHome
1.32 : 1.66
expected goals
Wolverhampton WanderersAway
30%Sheffield Utd
25%Draw
45%Wolves
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/4

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Prediction
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win
Chance
45%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sheffield United 1.3, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.7
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/4
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
81% chanceFair price 1/42 units

Eagle bold pick

Sheffield United to win
30% chancePrice 5/2+2.8% value1 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sheffield United 30%, the draw 25% and Wolverhampton Wanderers 45%. The bookmakers agree and make Wolverhampton Wanderers the favourite at 11/10.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sheffield United took 10 points from their last 5 games and Wolverhampton Wanderers took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sheffield United won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Wolverhampton Wanderers won 2 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sheffield United score 1.6 goals a game and let in 1.4. Wolverhampton Wanderers score 1.4 and let in 1.5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Sheffield United games and 12 of Wolverhampton Wanderers games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 81% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers: Wolverhampton Wanderers shade it

The big picture

Sheffield United host Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Championship on Sun 13 Sept, 12:00 at Bramall Lane. Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

Sheffield United form

Sheffield United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Wolverhampton Wanderers form

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sheffield United to score about 1.3 goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers about 1.7. That points to Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4. Our bold bet is Sheffield United to win at 5/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sheffield UtdWolves
Games played2020
Wins86
Draws68
Losses66
Goals scored3129
Goals conceded2730
Scored per game1.61.4
Conceded per game1.41.5
Home record2W 3D 4L4W 4D 1L
Away record6W 3D 2L2W 4D 5L
Clean sheets25%20%
Both teams scored70%55%
Over 2.5 goals65%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sheffield United to win30%12/55/2+2.8%
A Draw25%3/15/2-10.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win45%5/411/10-5.7%
Over 2.5 goals56%4/54/6-4.7%
Under 2.5 goals44%5/411/10-6.2%
Sheffield United +0.554%5/68/11-7.1%
Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.546%6/5Evens-8.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals81%1/4
Over 2.5 goals57%8/11
Over 3.5 goals35%15/8
Both teams to score60%4/6
Sheffield United or Draw55%4/5
Wolverhampton Wanderers or Draw70%4/9
Sheffield United to win and Over 2.519%4/1
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win and Over 2.530%9/4
Sheffield United clean sheet19%9/2
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet27%11/4

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.8%
1-29.2%
0-17.8%
2-17.3%
0-27.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Our prediction for Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers is Wolverhampton Wanderers to win, with a 45% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/4.

What is the score prediction for Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-1. We expect Sheffield United to score 1.3 goals and Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.7.

Will both teams score in Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 14 of Sheffield United last 20 games and 11 of Wolverhampton Wanderers last 20.

How are Sheffield United playing?

Sheffield United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

How are Wolverhampton Wanderers playing?

Wolverhampton Wanderers have 6 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 30 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, W, W, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/4, with a 81% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.