PredictionsUnited KingdomSheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic
League OneSat 12 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic prediction

Hillsborough

Sheffield WednesdayHome
2.01 : 1.09
expected goals
Wigan AthleticAway
58%Sheffield Wed
23%Draw
20%Wigan
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
Sheffield Wednesday to win
Chance
58%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sheffield Wednesday 2.0, Wigan Athletic 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
58%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units

Eagle bold pick

Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price 6/41 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sheffield Wednesday 58%, the draw 23% and Wigan Athletic 20%. The bookmakers agree and make Sheffield Wednesday the favourite at 8/13.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sheffield Wednesday took 9 points from their last 5 games and Wigan Athletic took 3 from 5. Sheffield Wednesday come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sheffield Wednesday won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Wigan Athletic won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sheffield Wednesday score 1.1 goals a game and let in 1.6. Wigan Athletic score 1.1 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Sheffield Wednesday games and 8 of Wigan Athletic games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic: Sheffield Wednesday are favourites

The big picture

Sheffield Wednesday host Wigan Athletic in the League One on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 at Hillsborough. Our prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Sheffield Wednesday form

Sheffield Wednesday have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Wigan Athletic form

Wigan Athletic have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sheffield Wednesday to score about 2.0 goals and Wigan Athletic about 1.1. That points to Sheffield Wednesday to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.5 at 6/4.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Sheffield WedWigan
Games played2020
Wins67
Draws45
Losses108
Goals scored2321
Goals conceded3124
Scored per game1.11.1
Conceded per game1.61.2
Home record3W 3D 4L6W 1D 4L
Away record3W 1D 6L1W 4D 4L
Clean sheets10%30%
Both teams scored60%35%
Over 2.5 goals45%40%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sheffield Wednesday to win58%8/118/13-5.9%
A Draw23%7/210/3-5.4%
Wigan Athletic to win20%4/14/1-6.0%
Over 2.5 goals60%4/64/7-6.4%
Under 2.5 goals40%6/45/4-7.0%
Sheffield Wednesday -0.558%8/114/7-7.9%
Wigan Athletic +0.542%11/86/5-7.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals60%4/6
Over 3.5 goals38%13/8
Both teams to score58%8/11
Sheffield Wednesday or Draw80%1/4
Wigan Athletic or Draw42%11/8
Sheffield Wednesday to win and Over 2.540%6/4
Wigan Athletic to win and Over 2.513%7/1
Sheffield Wednesday clean sheet33%2/1
Wigan Athletic clean sheet13%13/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.5%
2-19.9%
2-09.1%
1-08.4%
3-16.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic?

Our prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic is Sheffield Wednesday to win, with a 58% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 2-0. We expect Sheffield Wednesday to score 2.0 goals and Wigan Athletic 1.1.

Will both teams score in Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic?

Both teams to score has a 58% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Sheffield Wednesday last 20 games and 7 of Wigan Athletic last 20.

How are Sheffield Wednesday playing?

Sheffield Wednesday have 6 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Wigan Athletic playing?

Wigan Athletic have 7 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sheffield Wednesday vs Wigan Athletic?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.