EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaNewsOur recordResponsible gambling
Predictions › J1 League › Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
J1 LeagueSat 19 Sept, 09:30 UTC

Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba prediction

IAI Stadium Nihondaira

Shimizu S-PulseHome
1.37 : 1.05
expected goals
JEF United Ichihara-ChibaAway
44%Shimizu
29%Draw
28%JEF Utd Chiba
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Shimizu S-Pulse to win
Chance
44%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Shimizu S-Pulse 1.4, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
49%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.381 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Shimizu S-Pulse 44%, the draw 29% and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Shimizu S-Pulse took 1 point from their last 5 games and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 3 from 5. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Shimizu S-Pulse won 1 of their last 10 games at home. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Shimizu S-Pulse score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba score 1.1 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Shimizu S-Pulse games and 13 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba: Shimizu S-Pulse shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Shimizu S-Pulse host JEF United Ichihara-Chiba in the J1 League on Sat 19 Sept, 09:30 at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Our prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Shimizu S-Pulse form

Shimizu S-Pulse have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba form

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Shimizu S-Pulse to score about 1.4 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba about 1.1. That points to Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.38.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

ShimizuJEF Utd Chiba
Games played2020
Wins43
Draws62
Losses1015
Goals scored1822
Goals conceded2742
Scored per game0.91.1
Conceded per game1.42.1
Home record1W 4D 5L2W 1D 7L
Away record3W 2D 5L1W 1D 8L
Clean sheets10%10%
Both teams scored55%55%
Over 2.5 goals35%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.42
Over 2.5 goals44%2.29
Over 3.5 goals23%4.43
Both teams to score49%2.03
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw72%1.39
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw56%1.77
Shimizu S-Pulse to win and Over 2.524%4.21
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.514%6.91
Shimizu S-Pulse clean sheet35%2.85
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet25%3.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-011.4%
0-09.6%
2-18.8%
0-18.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Our prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Shimizu S-Pulse to win, with a 44% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Shimizu S-Pulse to score 1.4 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1.

Will both teams score in Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Both teams to score has a 49% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Shimizu S-Pulse last 20 games and 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last 20.

How are Shimizu S-Pulse playing?

Shimizu S-Pulse have 4 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 4 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, L, L, newest first.

How are JEF United Ichihara-Chiba playing?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Shimizu S-Pulse vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.