Predictions › South Africa › Siwelele vs Golden Arrows

South African PremiershipSun 13 Sept, 15:00 South Africa time

Siwelele vs Golden Arrows prediction

Free State Stadium

SiweleleHome

1.12 : 0.97

expected goals

Golden ArrowsAway

38%Siwelele

32%Draw

30%Golden Arrows

Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals

1.19

Quick answer

Our prediction for Siwelele vs Golden Arrows is Siwelele to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Prediction: Siwelele to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Siwelele 1.1, Golden Arrows 1.0
Best bet: Under 3.5 goals at 1.19
Both teams to score: 43%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals

84% chanceFair price 1.192 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

14% chanceFair price 7.021 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Siwelele 38%, the draw 32% and Golden Arrows 30%. The bookmakers agree and make Siwelele the favourite at 2.55.
2
Recent form
Siwelele took 1 point from their last 5 games and Golden Arrows took 6 from 5. Golden Arrows come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Siwelele won 4 of their last 9 games at home. Golden Arrows won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Siwelele score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.3. Golden Arrows score 0.8 and let in 0.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Siwelele games and 6 of Golden Arrows games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Siwelele won 0 and Golden Arrows won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Golden Arrows 0, Siwelele 0.
6
The safest bet
Under 3.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Siwelele vs Golden Arrows: Siwelele shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Siwelele host Golden Arrows in the South African Premiership on Sun 13 Sept, 15:00 at Free State Stadium. Our prediction for Siwelele vs Golden Arrows is Siwelele to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

Siwelele form

Siwelele have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, L, L, newest first.

Golden Arrows form

Golden Arrows have 7 wins, 10 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, D, D, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Siwelele won 0, Golden Arrows won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Golden Arrows 0, Siwelele 0.

Our call

We expect Siwelele to score about 1.1 goals and Golden Arrows about 1.0. That points to Siwelele to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.02.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Siwelele	Golden Arrows
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	7
Draws	10	10
Losses	6	3
Goals scored	20	17
Goals conceded	26	15
Scored per game	1.0	0.8
Conceded per game	1.3	0.8
Home record	4W 5D 0L	3W 6D 1L
Away record	0W 5D 6L	4W 4D 2L
Clean sheets	40%	60%
Both teams scored	40%	35%
Over 2.5 goals	30%	30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Siwelele to win	38%	2.62	2.55	-2.8%
A Draw	32%	3.17	2.90	-8.6%
Golden Arrows to win	30%	3.30	2.75	-16.6%
Over 1.5 goals	62%	1.62	1.50	-7.2%
Under 1.5 goals	38%	2.62	2.40	-8.5%
Siwelele -0.5	37%	2.67	2.45	-8.4%
Golden Arrows +0.5	63%	1.60	1.44	-9.6%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	63%	1.60
Over 2.5 goals	35%	2.87
Over 3.5 goals	16%	6.26
Both teams to score	43%	2.34
Siwelele or Draw	70%	1.44
Golden Arrows or Draw	62%	1.62
Siwelele to win and Over 2.5	17%	5.78
Golden Arrows to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.48
Siwelele clean sheet	38%	2.64
Golden Arrows clean sheet	33%	3.07

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.2%

0-013.2%

1-013.0%

0-111.2%

2-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Siwelele vs Golden Arrows?

Our prediction for Siwelele vs Golden Arrows is Siwelele to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.19.

What is the score prediction for Siwelele vs Golden Arrows?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 0-0 and 1-0. We expect Siwelele to score 1.1 goals and Golden Arrows 1.0.

Will both teams score in Siwelele vs Golden Arrows?

Both teams to score has a 43% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Siwelele last 20 games and 7 of Golden Arrows last 20.

How are Siwelele playing?

How are Golden Arrows playing?

What happened when Siwelele and Golden Arrows last met?

It ended Golden Arrows 0, Siwelele 0. In the last 1 meeting Siwelele won 0 and Golden Arrows won 0.

What is the best bet for Siwelele vs Golden Arrows?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.19, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.