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IndiaPredictions › Europa League › SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais
SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais prediction
Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UTC, Merkur Arena
SK Sturm Graz1.31 - 1.66
expected goals
Stade RennaisSturm Graz 30%Draw 25%Rennes 45%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 1.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
SK Sturm Graz to win
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SK Sturm Graz to win | 30% | 3.37 | 3.35 | -0.5% |
| A Draw | 25% | 3.94 | 3.80 | -3.5% |
| Stade Rennais to win | 45% | 2.23 | 2.00 | -10.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.65 | -6.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 | 2.20 | -5.2% |
| SK Sturm Graz +0.5 | 55% | 1.81 | 1.77 | -2.5% |
| Stade Rennais -0.5 | 45% | 2.23 | 1.91 | -14.3% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.90 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 1.67 |
| SK Sturm Graz or Draw | 55% | 1.81 |
| Stade Rennais or Draw | 70% | 1.42 |
| SK Sturm Graz to win and Over 2.5 | 19% | 5.21 |
| Stade Rennais to win and Over 2.5 | 30% | 3.34 |
| SK Sturm Graz clean sheet | 19% | 5.23 |
| Stade Rennais clean sheet | 27% | 3.71 |
Most likely scores
1-111.8%
1-29.3%
0-17.9%
2-17.3%
0-27.1%
Questions people ask
Who will win SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais?
Our model gives SK Sturm Graz a 30% chance, the draw 25% and Stade Rennais 45%.
How many goals will there be in SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais?
We expect about 3.0 goals (SK Sturm Graz 1.31, Stade Rennais 1.66). Over 2.5 goals has a 57% chance.
Will both teams score in SK Sturm Graz vs Stade Rennais?
Both teams to score has a 60% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 11.8% chance, followed by 1-2 and 0-1.