South Alabama Jaguars vs Tulane Green Wave prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Tulane to win

76% chancePrice -3951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Tulane Green Wave 76% and South Alabama Jaguars 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Tulane Green Wave the favourite at -395.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Tulane Green Wave won 3 of their last 5 and South Alabama Jaguars won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Tulane Green Wave won 6 of their last 6 games at home. South Alabama Jaguars won 2 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Tulane Green Wave score 25.8 points a game and let in 24.5. South Alabama Jaguars score 26.2 and let in 29.5. Their recent games average 50.2 and 55.7 points in total, and the market line is 49.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Tulane to win has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Tulane +3.5 wins if Tulane win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.