South Florida Bulls vs Army Black Knights prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Army +7

75% chanceFair price -3002 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

South Florida to win

40% chancePrice +1401 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Army Black Knights 60% and South Florida Bulls 40%. The bookmakers agree and make Army Black Knights the favourite at -166.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Army Black Knights won 3 of their last 5 and South Florida Bulls won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Army Black Knights won 4 of their last 6 games at home. South Florida Bulls won 2 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Army Black Knights score 26.5 points a game and let in 19.4. South Florida Bulls score 41.1 and let in 24.2. Their recent games average 45.9 and 65.3 points in total, and the market line is 46.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Army +7 has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Army +3.5 wins if Army win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.