Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Auburn Tigers prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Under 66.5 points

74% chanceFair price -2891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Auburn Tigers 96% and Southern Miss Golden Eagles 4%. The bookmakers agree and make Auburn Tigers the favourite at -7692.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Auburn Tigers won 2 of their last 5 and Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 of their last 5. Auburn Tigers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Auburn Tigers won 3 of their last 7 games at home. Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 3 of their last 5 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Auburn Tigers score 23.5 points a game and let in 21.5. Southern Miss Golden Eagles score 30.7 and let in 25.4. Their recent games average 45.0 and 56.1 points in total, and the market line is 56.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Under 66.5 points has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Auburn +3.5 wins if Auburn win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.