Predictions › Eredivisie › Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen

EredivisieSat 19 Sept, 16:45 UTC

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen prediction

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta RotterdamHome

1.60 : 1.58

expected goals

HeerenveenAway

38%Sparta

25%Draw

37%Heerenveen

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1.20

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen is Sparta Rotterdam to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Prediction: Sparta Rotterdam to win
Chance: 38%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Sparta Rotterdam 1.6, Heerenveen 1.6
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1.20
Both teams to score: 64%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

83% chanceFair price 1.202 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Sparta Rotterdam to win and Over 2.5

27% chanceFair price 3.751 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Sparta Rotterdam 38%, the draw 25% and Heerenveen 37%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam took 5 points from their last 5 games and Heerenveen took 5 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Sparta Rotterdam won 2 of their last 10 games at home. Heerenveen won 3 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Sparta Rotterdam score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.9. Heerenveen score 1.7 and let in 1.7. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of Sparta Rotterdam games and 15 of Heerenveen games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Sparta Rotterdam won 0 and Heerenveen won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Heerenveen 2, Sparta Rotterdam 1.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen: Sparta Rotterdam shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sparta Rotterdam host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Sat 19 Sept, 16:45 at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel. Our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen is Sparta Rotterdam to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

Sparta Rotterdam form

Sparta Rotterdam have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Heerenveen form

Heerenveen have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 34 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read L, D, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Sparta Rotterdam won 0, Heerenveen won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Heerenveen 2, Sparta Rotterdam 1.

Our call

We expect Sparta Rotterdam to score about 1.6 goals and Heerenveen about 1.6. That points to Sparta Rotterdam to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20. Our bold bet is Sparta Rotterdam to win and Over 2.5 at 3.75.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Sparta	Heerenveen
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	9
Draws	7	4
Losses	9	7
Goals scored	25	34
Goals conceded	37	34
Scored per game	1.3	1.7
Conceded per game	1.9	1.7
Home record	2W 5D 3L	6W 1D 2L
Away record	2W 2D 6L	3W 3D 5L
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	75%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	83%	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	62%	1.62
Over 3.5 goals	39%	2.54
Both teams to score	64%	1.56
Sparta Rotterdam or Draw	63%	1.59
Heerenveen or Draw	62%	1.61
Sparta Rotterdam to win and Over 2.5	27%	3.75
Heerenveen to win and Over 2.5	26%	3.82
Sparta Rotterdam clean sheet	21%	4.87
Heerenveen clean sheet	20%	4.95

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.1%

2-18.4%

1-28.3%

2-26.7%

1-06.0%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

Our prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen is Sparta Rotterdam to win, with a 38% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.20.

What is the score prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect Sparta Rotterdam to score 1.6 goals and Heerenveen 1.6.

Will both teams score in Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

Both teams to score has a 64% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Sparta Rotterdam last 20 games and 12 of Heerenveen last 20.

How are Sparta Rotterdam playing?

How are Heerenveen playing?

What happened when Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen last met?

It ended Heerenveen 2, Sparta Rotterdam 1. In the last 2 meetings Sparta Rotterdam won 0 and Heerenveen won 2.

What is the best bet for Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.20, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.