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Predictions › United States › Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC
MLSSat 12 Sept, 20:30 United States time

Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC prediction

Sporting Park

Sporting Kansas CityHome
1.14 : 2.00
expected goals
LAFCAway
21%Kansas City
23%Draw
57%LAFC
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
-478

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC is LAFC to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -478.

Prediction
LAFC to win
Chance
57%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Sporting Kansas City 1.1, LAFC 2.0
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at -478
Both teams to score
59%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
83% chanceFair price -4782 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

LAFC to win and Over 2.5
40% chanceFair price +1501 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting Kansas City 21%, the draw 23% and LAFC 57%. The bookmakers agree and make LAFC the favourite at -155.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting Kansas City took 1 point from their last 5 games and LAFC took 6 from 5. LAFC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting Kansas City won 2 of their last 9 games at home. LAFC won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting Kansas City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.6. LAFC score 1.6 and let in 1.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Sporting Kansas City games and 11 of LAFC games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Sporting Kansas City won 0 and LAFC won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended LAFC 4, Sporting Kansas City 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC: LAFC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Kansas City host LAFC in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 20:30 at Sporting Park. Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC is LAFC to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -478.

Sporting Kansas City form

Sporting Kansas City have 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

LAFC form

LAFC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Sporting Kansas City won 0, LAFC won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished LAFC 4, Sporting Kansas City 0.

Our call

We expect Sporting Kansas City to score about 1.1 goals and LAFC about 2.0. That points to LAFC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -478. Our bold bet is LAFC to win and Over 2.5 at +150.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kansas CityLAFC
Games played2020
Wins47
Draws26
Losses147
Goals scored2132
Goals conceded5224
Scored per game1.11.6
Conceded per game2.61.2
Home record2W 2D 5L5W 2D 3L
Away record2W 0D 9L2W 4D 4L
Clean sheets0%40%
Both teams scored65%50%
Over 2.5 goals80%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Sporting Kansas City to win21%+385+330-11.3%
A Draw23%+342+320-5.0%
LAFC to win57%-131-155-6.6%
Over 3.5 goals41%+144+125-8.0%
Under 3.5 goals59%-144-160-4.0%
Sporting Kansas City +0.543%+132+115-7.3%
LAFC -0.557%-132-160-7.5%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals83%-479
Over 2.5 goals61%-155
Over 3.5 goals39%+160
Both teams to score59%-147
Sporting Kansas City or Draw43%+131
LAFC or Draw79%-385
Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.513%+641
LAFC to win and Over 2.540%+150
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet13%+642
LAFC clean sheet32%+213

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.4%
1-29.9%
0-28.6%
0-18.0%
1-36.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC?

Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC is LAFC to win, with a 57% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -478.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-2 and 0-2. We expect Sporting Kansas City to score 1.1 goals and LAFC 2.0.

Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC?

Both teams to score has a 59% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Sporting Kansas City last 20 games and 10 of LAFC last 20.

How are Sporting Kansas City playing?

Sporting Kansas City have 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are LAFC playing?

LAFC have 7 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 32 goals scored and 24 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, D, L, newest first.

What happened when Sporting Kansas City and LAFC last met?

It ended LAFC 4, Sporting Kansas City 0. In the last 1 meeting Sporting Kansas City won 0 and LAFC won 1.

What is the best bet for Sporting Kansas City vs LAFC?

Over 1.5 goals at -478, with a 83% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.