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Predictions › United States › Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union
MLSSat 19 Sept, 20:30 United States time

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union prediction

Sporting Park

Sporting Kansas CityHome
1.45 : 2.17
expected goals
Philadelphia UnionAway
25%Kansas City
22%Draw
53%Philadelphia
Eagle safe pickPhiladelphia Union or Draw
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Philadelphia Union or Draw at -301.

Prediction
Philadelphia Union to win
Chance
53%
Most likely score
1-2
Expected goals
Sporting Kansas City 1.4, Philadelphia Union 2.2
Best bet
Philadelphia Union or Draw at -301
Both teams to score
68%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Philadelphia Union or Draw
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5
42% chanceFair price +1391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Sporting Kansas City 25%, the draw 22% and Philadelphia Union 53%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Sporting Kansas City took 1 point from their last 5 games and Philadelphia Union took 11 from 5. Philadelphia Union come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Sporting Kansas City won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Philadelphia Union won 3 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Sporting Kansas City score 1.1 goals a game and let in 2.6. Philadelphia Union score 1.9 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 16 of Sporting Kansas City games and 13 of Philadelphia Union games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Philadelphia Union or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Sporting Kansas City host Philadelphia Union in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 at Sporting Park. Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Philadelphia Union or Draw at -301.

Sporting Kansas City form

Sporting Kansas City have 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Philadelphia Union form

Philadelphia Union have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect Sporting Kansas City to score about 1.4 goals and Philadelphia Union about 2.2. That points to Philadelphia Union to win, with 1-2 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Philadelphia Union or Draw at -301. Our bold bet is Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.5 at +139.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Kansas CityPhiladelphia
Games played2020
Wins48
Draws26
Losses146
Goals scored2139
Goals conceded5232
Scored per game1.11.9
Conceded per game2.61.6
Home record2W 2D 5L5W 4D 1L
Away record2W 0D 9L3W 2D 5L
Clean sheets0%25%
Both teams scored65%70%
Over 2.5 goals80%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals88%-743
Over 2.5 goals70%-234
Over 3.5 goals49%+104
Both teams to score68%-216
Sporting Kansas City or Draw47%+115
Philadelphia Union or Draw75%-301
Sporting Kansas City to win and Over 2.519%+433
Philadelphia Union to win and Over 2.542%+139
Sporting Kansas City clean sheet11%+775
Philadelphia Union clean sheet23%+327

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-29.1%
1-18.9%
2-26.6%
1-36.6%
0-26.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?

Our prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union is Philadelphia Union to win, with a 53% chance. The most likely score is 1-2. Our best bet is Philadelphia Union or Draw at -301.

What is the score prediction for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?

1-2 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 2-2. We expect Sporting Kansas City to score 1.4 goals and Philadelphia Union 2.2.

Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?

Both teams to score has a 68% chance. Both sides scored in 13 of Sporting Kansas City last 20 games and 14 of Philadelphia Union last 20.

How are Sporting Kansas City playing?

Sporting Kansas City have 4 wins, 2 draws and 14 losses in their last 20 games, with 21 goals scored and 52 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are Philadelphia Union playing?

Philadelphia Union have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 39 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, D, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?

Philadelphia Union or Draw at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.