EagleEyeOdds eagleEagleEyeOddsToday's picks
PredictionsKenyaNigeriaGhanaSouth AfricaUnited KingdomUnited StatesIndiaNewsOur recordResponsible gambling
Predictions › United Kingdom › St Johnstone vs Falkirk
Scottish PremiershipSat 19 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

St Johnstone vs Falkirk prediction

McDiarmid Park

St JohnstoneHome
1.51 : 1.12
expected goals
FalkirkAway
46%St Johnstone
27%Draw
27%Falkirk
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Falkirk is St Johnstone to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction
St Johnstone to win
Chance
46%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
St Johnstone 1.5, Falkirk 1.1
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
75% chanceFair price 1/31 unit
⚡

Eagle bold pick

St Johnstone to win and Over 2.5
27% chanceFair price 13/51 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives St Johnstone 46%, the draw 27% and Falkirk 27%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    St Johnstone took 4 points from their last 5 games and Falkirk took 2 from 5. St Johnstone come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    St Johnstone won 2 of their last 3 games at home. Falkirk won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    St Johnstone score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.5. Falkirk score 1.3 and let in 2.0. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of St Johnstone games and 12 of Falkirk games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

St Johnstone vs Falkirk: St Johnstone are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St Johnstone host Falkirk in the Scottish Premiership on Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 at McDiarmid Park. Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Falkirk is St Johnstone to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

St Johnstone form

St Johnstone have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Falkirk form

Falkirk have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect St Johnstone to score about 1.5 goals and Falkirk about 1.1. That points to St Johnstone to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is St Johnstone to win and Over 2.5 at 13/5.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

St JohnstoneFalkirk
Games played620
Wins25
Draws13
Losses312
Goals scored826
Goals conceded940
Scored per game1.31.3
Conceded per game1.52.0
Home record2W 0D 1L3W 0D 7L
Away record0W 1D 2L2W 3D 5L
Clean sheets0%15%
Both teams scored67%65%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%1/3
Over 2.5 goals49%21/20
Over 3.5 goals27%11/4
Both teams to score53%10/11
St Johnstone or Draw73%4/11
Falkirk or Draw54%5/6
St Johnstone to win and Over 2.527%13/5
Falkirk to win and Over 2.516%11/2
St Johnstone clean sheet33%85/40
Falkirk clean sheet22%7/2

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%
1-010.1%
2-19.2%
2-08.2%
0-07.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win St Johnstone vs Falkirk?

Our prediction for St Johnstone vs Falkirk is St Johnstone to win, with a 46% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for St Johnstone vs Falkirk?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect St Johnstone to score 1.5 goals and Falkirk 1.1.

Will both teams score in St Johnstone vs Falkirk?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 4 of St Johnstone last 6 games and 13 of Falkirk last 20.

How are St Johnstone playing?

St Johnstone have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 games, with 8 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from 3. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Falkirk playing?

Falkirk have 5 wins, 3 draws and 12 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 40 conceded. Away from home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for St Johnstone vs Falkirk?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.