Predictions › United States › St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC

MLSSat 12 Sept, 20:30 United States time

St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC prediction

Energizer Park

St. Louis CITY SCHome

1.81 : 1.47

expected goals

Minnesota United FCAway

45%St. Louis

24%Draw

31%Minnesota

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

-543

Quick answer

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -543.

Prediction: St. Louis CITY SC to win
Chance: 45%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: St. Louis CITY SC 1.8, Minnesota United FC 1.5
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at -543
Both teams to score: 65%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

84% chanceFair price -5432 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5

33% chanceFair price +2051 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives St. Louis CITY SC 45%, the draw 24% and Minnesota United FC 31%. The bookmakers agree and make St. Louis CITY SC the favourite at +105.
2
Recent form
St. Louis CITY SC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Minnesota United FC took 4 from 5. St. Louis CITY SC come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
St. Louis CITY SC won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Minnesota United FC won 5 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
St. Louis CITY SC score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Minnesota United FC score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of St. Louis CITY SC games and 11 of Minnesota United FC games in that run.
5
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 84% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC: St. Louis CITY SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St. Louis CITY SC host Minnesota United FC in the MLS on Sat 12 Sept, 20:30 at Energizer Park. Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -543.

St. Louis CITY SC form

St. Louis CITY SC have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Minnesota United FC form

Minnesota United FC have 6 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 28 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score about 1.8 goals and Minnesota United FC about 1.5. That points to St. Louis CITY SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at -543. Our bold bet is St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5 at +205.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	St. Louis	Minnesota
Games played	20	20
Wins	10	6
Draws	7	7
Losses	3	7
Goals scored	37	31
Goals conceded	27	28
Scored per game	1.9	1.6
Conceded per game	1.4	1.4
Home record	6W 2D 1L	1W 6D 4L
Away record	4W 5D 2L	5W 1D 3L
Clean sheets	15%	20%
Both teams scored	80%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
St. Louis CITY SC to win	45%	+121	+105	-7.2%
A Draw	24%	+317	+265	-12.5%
Minnesota United FC to win	31%	+225	+215	-3.1%
Over 3.5 goals	41%	+146	+135	-4.4%
Under 3.5 goals	59%	-146	-170	-5.8%
St. Louis CITY SC -0.5	47%	+115	-105	-9.1%
Minnesota United FC +0.5	53%	-115	-135	-7.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	84%	-543
Over 2.5 goals	64%	-175
Over 3.5 goals	41%	+141
Both teams to score	65%	-185
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw	69%	-225
Minnesota United FC or Draw	55%	-121
St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5	33%	+205
Minnesota United FC to win and Over 2.5	22%	+359
St. Louis CITY SC clean sheet	23%	+333
Minnesota United FC clean sheet	16%	+511

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-110.6%

2-19.1%

1-27.3%

2-26.7%

1-06.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC?

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 45% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at -543.

What is the score prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-2. We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score 1.8 goals and Minnesota United FC 1.5.

Will both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC?

Both teams to score has a 65% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of St. Louis CITY SC last 20 games and 14 of Minnesota United FC last 20.

How are St. Louis CITY SC playing?

How are Minnesota United FC playing?

What is the best bet for St. Louis CITY SC vs Minnesota United FC?

Over 1.5 goals at -543, with a 84% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.