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Predictions › United States › St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC
MLSSat 19 Sept, 20:30 United States time

St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC prediction

Energizer Park

St. Louis CITY SCHome
1.58 : 1.07
expected goals
Toronto FCAway
49%St. Louis
27%Draw
25%Toronto
Eagle safe pickSt. Louis CITY SC or Draw
-301

Quick answer

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -301.

Prediction
St. Louis CITY SC to win
Chance
49%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
St. Louis CITY SC 1.6, Toronto FC 1.1
Best bet
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -301
Both teams to score
53%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

St. Louis CITY SC or Draw
75% chanceFair price -3012 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5
29% chanceFair price +2421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives St. Louis CITY SC 49%, the draw 27% and Toronto FC 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    St. Louis CITY SC took 9 points from their last 5 games and Toronto FC took 9 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    St. Louis CITY SC won 6 of their last 9 games at home. Toronto FC won 1 of their last 7 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    St. Louis CITY SC score 1.9 goals a game and let in 1.4. Toronto FC score 1.7 and let in 1.8. Over 2.5 goals landed in 12 of St. Louis CITY SC games and 14 of Toronto FC games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    St. Louis CITY SC or Draw has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC: St. Louis CITY SC are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

St. Louis CITY SC host Toronto FC in the MLS on Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 at Energizer Park. Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -301.

St. Louis CITY SC form

St. Louis CITY SC have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

Toronto FC form

Toronto FC have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

Our call

We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score about 1.6 goals and Toronto FC about 1.1. That points to St. Louis CITY SC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -301. Our bold bet is St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.5 at +242.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

St. LouisToronto
Games played2020
Wins105
Draws710
Losses35
Goals scored3734
Goals conceded2736
Scored per game1.91.7
Conceded per game1.41.8
Home record6W 2D 1L4W 7D 2L
Away record4W 5D 2L1W 3D 3L
Clean sheets15%10%
Both teams scored80%90%
Over 2.5 goals60%70%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals75%-298
Over 2.5 goals49%+103
Over 3.5 goals27%+264
Both teams to score53%-112
St. Louis CITY SC or Draw75%-301
Toronto FC or Draw52%-106
St. Louis CITY SC to win and Over 2.529%+243
Toronto FC to win and Over 2.514%+611
St. Louis CITY SC clean sheet34%+191
Toronto FC clean sheet21%+386

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
1-010.5%
2-19.4%
2-08.8%
0-07.8%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC?

Our prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC is St. Louis CITY SC to win, with a 49% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -301.

What is the score prediction for St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect St. Louis CITY SC to score 1.6 goals and Toronto FC 1.1.

Will both teams score in St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC?

Both teams to score has a 53% chance. Both sides scored in 16 of St. Louis CITY SC last 20 games and 18 of Toronto FC last 20.

How are St. Louis CITY SC playing?

St. Louis CITY SC have 10 wins, 7 draws and 3 losses in their last 20 games, with 37 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from 9. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, W, D, newest first.

How are Toronto FC playing?

Toronto FC have 5 wins, 10 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 34 goals scored and 36 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses from 7. Their last 5 results read W, D, D, W, D, newest first.

What is the best bet for St. Louis CITY SC vs Toronto FC?

St. Louis CITY SC or Draw at -301, with a 75% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.