St Mirren vs Dundee United prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

77% chanceFair price 3/102 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 7/11 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives St Mirren 37%, the draw 27% and Dundee United 36%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   St Mirren took 7 points from their last 5 games and Dundee United took 4 from 5. St Mirren come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   St Mirren won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Dundee United won 2 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Goals

   St Mirren score 1.0 goals a game and let in 1.5. Dundee United score 1.3 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of St Mirren games and 10 of Dundee United games in that run.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 4 meetings, St Mirren won 1 and Dundee United won 2 with 1 draw. The last one ended St Mirren 1, Dundee United 1.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.