PredictionsUnited KingdomStockport County vs Leicester City
League OneSat 12 Sept, 15:00 United Kingdom time

Stockport County vs Leicester City prediction

Edgeley Park

Stockport CountyHome
1.83 : 1.22
expected goals
Leicester CityAway
51%Stockport
24%Draw
25%Leicester
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
2/9

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stockport County vs Leicester City is Stockport County to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Prediction
Stockport County to win
Chance
51%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Stockport County 1.8, Leicester City 1.2
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 2/9
Both teams to score
60%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 2/92 units

Eagle bold pick

Stockport County to win and Over 2.5
35% chanceFair price 15/81 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Stockport County 51%, the draw 24% and Leicester City 25%. The bookmakers agree and make Stockport County the favourite at 5/6.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Stockport County took 9 points from their last 5 games and Leicester City took 4 from 5. Stockport County come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Stockport County won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Leicester City won 1 of their last 9 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Stockport County score 2.0 goals a game and let in 1.1. Leicester City score 0.9 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Stockport County games and 6 of Leicester City games in that run.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Stockport County vs Leicester City: Stockport County are favourites

The big picture

Stockport County host Leicester City in the League One on Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 at Edgeley Park. Our prediction for Stockport County vs Leicester City is Stockport County to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

Stockport County form

Stockport County have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

Leicester City form

Leicester City have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect Stockport County to score about 1.8 goals and Leicester City about 1.2. That points to Stockport County to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9. Our bold bet is Stockport County to win and Over 2.5 at 15/8.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

StockportLeicester
Games played2020
Wins114
Draws49
Losses57
Goals scored4118
Goals conceded2325
Scored per game2.00.9
Conceded per game1.11.3
Home record6W 1D 3L3W 3D 5L
Away record5W 3D 2L1W 6D 2L
Clean sheets30%30%
Both teams scored60%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%30%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Stockport County to win51%Evens5/6-4.7%
A Draw24%3/111/4-6.9%
Leicester City to win25%3/111/4-7.9%
Over 2.5 goals60%4/64/7-7.0%
Under 2.5 goals40%6/411/8-5.5%
Stockport County -0.551%Evens4/5-8.3%
Leicester City +0.549%21/205/6-8.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals82%2/9
Over 2.5 goals59%8/11
Over 3.5 goals36%7/4
Both teams to score60%4/6
Stockport County or Draw75%1/3
Leicester City or Draw49%21/20
Stockport County to win and Over 2.535%15/8
Leicester City to win and Over 2.516%5/1
Stockport County clean sheet29%12/5
Leicester City clean sheet16%5/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-111.2%
2-19.7%
1-08.0%
2-07.9%
1-26.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stockport County vs Leicester City?

Our prediction for Stockport County vs Leicester City is Stockport County to win, with a 51% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 2/9.

What is the score prediction for Stockport County vs Leicester City?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Stockport County to score 1.8 goals and Leicester City 1.2.

Will both teams score in Stockport County vs Leicester City?

Both teams to score has a 60% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Stockport County last 20 games and 10 of Leicester City last 20.

How are Stockport County playing?

Stockport County have 11 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 41 goals scored and 23 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, L, W, newest first.

How are Leicester City playing?

Leicester City have 4 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 25 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 6 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, W, D, L, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for Stockport County vs Leicester City?

Over 1.5 goals at 2/9, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.