Predictions › United Kingdom › Stoke City vs Sheffield United

ChampionshipSat 19 Sept, 12:30 United Kingdom time

Stoke City vs Sheffield United prediction

bet365 Stadium

Stoke CityHome

1.41 : 1.29

expected goals

Sheffield UnitedAway

39%Stoke

27%Draw

34%Sheffield Utd

Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals

1/3

Quick answer

Our prediction for Stoke City vs Sheffield United is Stoke City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Prediction: Stoke City to win
Chance: 39%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Stoke City 1.4, Sheffield United 1.3
Best bet: Over 1.5 goals at 1/3
Both teams to score: 55%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals

76% chanceFair price 1/32 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1

13% chanceFair price 13/21 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Stoke City 39%, the draw 27% and Sheffield United 34%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.
2
Recent form
Stoke City took 8 points from their last 5 games and Sheffield United took 10 from 5. Sheffield United come in with the better run.
3
Home and away
Stoke City won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Sheffield United won 6 of their last 11 on the road.
4
Goals
Stoke City score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.8. Sheffield United score 1.6 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Stoke City games and 13 of Sheffield United games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 2 meetings, Stoke City won 0 and Sheffield United won 2 with 0 draws. The last one ended Stoke City 1, Sheffield United 2.
6
The safest bet
Over 1.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Stoke City vs Sheffield United: Stoke City shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Stoke City host Sheffield United in the Championship on Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 at bet365 Stadium. Our prediction for Stoke City vs Sheffield United is Stoke City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

Stoke City form

Stoke City have 5 wins, 4 draws and 11 losses in their last 20 games, with 25 goals scored and 35 conceded. At home they have 5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, W, W, L, D, newest first.

Sheffield United form

Sheffield United have 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 31 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Stoke City won 0, Sheffield United won 2 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Stoke City 1, Sheffield United 2.

Our call

We expect Stoke City to score about 1.4 goals and Sheffield United about 1.3. That points to Stoke City to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 13/2.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Stoke	Sheffield Utd
Games played	20	20
Wins	5	8
Draws	4	6
Losses	11	6
Goals scored	25	31
Goals conceded	35	27
Scored per game	1.3	1.6
Conceded per game	1.8	1.4
Home record	5W 3D 3L	2W 3D 4L
Away record	0W 1D 8L	6W 3D 2L
Clean sheets	20%	25%
Both teams scored	60%	70%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	76%	1/3
Over 2.5 goals	51%	Evens
Over 3.5 goals	29%	5/2
Both teams to score	55%	4/5
Stoke City or Draw	66%	1/2
Sheffield United or Draw	61%	4/6
Stoke City to win and Over 2.5	24%	10/3
Sheffield United to win and Over 2.5	20%	4/1
Stoke City clean sheet	28%	13/5
Sheffield United clean sheet	24%	3/1

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.0%

1-08.8%

2-18.6%

0-17.9%

1-27.9%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Stoke City vs Sheffield United?

Our prediction for Stoke City vs Sheffield United is Stoke City to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1/3.

What is the score prediction for Stoke City vs Sheffield United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Stoke City to score 1.4 goals and Sheffield United 1.3.

Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Sheffield United?

Both teams to score has a 55% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Stoke City last 20 games and 14 of Sheffield United last 20.

How are Stoke City playing?

How are Sheffield United playing?

What happened when Stoke City and Sheffield United last met?

It ended Stoke City 1, Sheffield United 2. In the last 2 meetings Stoke City won 0 and Sheffield United won 2.

What is the best bet for Stoke City vs Sheffield United?

Over 1.5 goals at 1/3, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.