Stony Brook Seawolves vs Ball State Cardinals prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Ball State to win

83% chancePrice -6991 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Ball State Cardinals 83% and Stony Brook Seawolves 17%. The bookmakers agree and make Ball State Cardinals the favourite at -699.

2. 2
   The safest bet

   Ball State to win has a 83% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Ball State +3.5 wins if Ball State win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.