Predictions › Premier League › Sunderland vs Arsenal
Sunderland vs Arsenal prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 22:00 Kenya time, Stadium of Light
Sunderland0.74 - 1.67
expected goals
ArsenalSunderland 16%Draw 25%Arsenal 59%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Sunderland +1.5
⚡
Bold pick
A Draw
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland to win | 16% | 6.44 | 7.00 | +8.6% |
| A Draw | 25% | 3.95 | 4.30 | +8.8% |
| Arsenal to win | 59% | 1.69 | 1.49 | -12.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.31 | 2.05 | -11.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 | 1.77 | +0.4% |
| Sunderland +1.5 | 67% | 1.50 | 1.53 | +1.6% |
| Arsenal -1.5 | 33% | 2.99 | 2.35 | -21.5% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 4.49 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 2.33 |
| Sunderland or Draw | 41% | 2.45 |
| Arsenal or Draw | 84% | 1.18 |
| Sunderland to win and Over 2.5 | 7% | 14.03 |
| Arsenal to win and Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.11 |
| Sunderland clean sheet | 19% | 5.32 |
| Arsenal clean sheet | 48% | 2.09 |
Most likely scores
0-114.4%
0-212.6%
1-111.7%
0-09.7%
1-29.3%
Questions people ask
Who will win Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Our model gives Sunderland a 16% chance, the draw 25% and Arsenal 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
We expect about 2.4 goals (Sunderland 0.74, Arsenal 1.67). Over 2.5 goals has a 43% chance.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Both teams to score has a 43% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
0-1, with a 14.4% chance, followed by 0-2 and 1-1.