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IndiaPredictions › Europa League › Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar
Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar prediction
Wed 16 Sept, 19:00 UTC, Stadium of Light
Sunderland1.60 - 1.11
expected goals
AZ AlkmaarSunderland 48%Draw 26%AZ Alkmaar 26%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 1.5 goals
★
Best value
AZ Alkmaar +0.5
⚡
Bold pick
AZ Alkmaar to win
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland to win | 48% | 2.08 | 1.71 | -17.6% |
| A Draw | 26% | 3.81 | 4.00 | +5.1% |
| AZ Alkmaar to win | 26% | 3.90 | 4.50 | +15.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.69 | -13.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.04 | 2.10 | +3.0% |
| Sunderland -0.5 | 48% | 2.08 | 1.65 | -20.9% |
| AZ Alkmaar +0.5 | 52% | 1.93 | 2.05 | +6.5% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.47 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 1.84 |
| Sunderland or Draw | 74% | 1.35 |
| AZ Alkmaar or Draw | 52% | 1.93 |
| Sunderland to win and Over 2.5 | 30% | 3.38 |
| AZ Alkmaar to win and Over 2.5 | 15% | 6.71 |
| Sunderland clean sheet | 33% | 3.03 |
| AZ Alkmaar clean sheet | 20% | 4.96 |
Most likely scores
1-112.5%
1-09.9%
2-19.5%
2-08.5%
0-07.3%
Questions people ask
Who will win Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our model gives Sunderland a 48% chance, the draw 26% and AZ Alkmaar 26%.
How many goals will there be in Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
We expect about 2.7 goals (Sunderland 1.60, AZ Alkmaar 1.11). Over 2.5 goals has a 51% chance.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs AZ Alkmaar?
Both teams to score has a 54% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 12.5% chance, followed by 1-0 and 2-1.