PredictionsBundesligaSV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich
Bundesliga

SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich prediction

Sun 13 Sept, 15:30 UTC, URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde

SV Elversberg
1.06 - 3.35
expected goals
Bayern Munich
Elversberg 8%Draw 12%Bayern 80%

Our three picks

Safest pick

Over 2.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units

Bold pick

Correct score 1-3
8% chanceFair price 12.381 unit

No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.

Price check against DraftKings

Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
SV Elversberg to win8%12.7712.00-6.0%
A Draw12%8.478.00-5.5%
Bayern Munich to win80%1.241.15-7.3%
Over 4.5 goals45%2.222.00-10.0%
Under 4.5 goals55%1.821.80-1.0%
SV Elversberg +2.556%1.791.80+0.8%
Bayern Munich -2.544%2.271.87-17.7%

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals94%1.07
Over 2.5 goals82%1.23
Over 3.5 goals64%1.56
Both teams to score63%1.58
SV Elversberg or Draw20%5.09
Bayern Munich or Draw92%1.08
SV Elversberg to win and Over 2.56%16.36
Bayern Munich to win and Over 2.570%1.43
SV Elversberg clean sheet4%28.41
Bayern Munich clean sheet35%2.89

Most likely scores

1-38.1%
0-37.6%
1-27.2%
0-26.8%
1-46.8%

Questions people ask

Who will win SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?

Our model gives SV Elversberg a 8% chance, the draw 12% and Bayern Munich 80%.

How many goals will there be in SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?

We expect about 4.4 goals (SV Elversberg 1.06, Bayern Munich 3.35). Over 2.5 goals has a 82% chance.

Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?

Both teams to score has a 63% chance according to our model.

What is the most likely score?

1-3, with a 8.1% chance, followed by 0-3 and 1-2.