Predictions › Bundesliga › SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich
SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich prediction
Sun 13 Sept, 15:30 UTC, URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
SV Elversberg1.06 - 3.35
expected goals
Bayern MunichElversberg 8%Draw 12%Bayern 80%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 2.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
Correct score 1-3
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SV Elversberg to win | 8% | 12.77 | 12.00 | -6.0% |
| A Draw | 12% | 8.47 | 8.00 | -5.5% |
| Bayern Munich to win | 80% | 1.24 | 1.15 | -7.3% |
| Over 4.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 | 2.00 | -10.0% |
| Under 4.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 | 1.80 | -1.0% |
| SV Elversberg +2.5 | 56% | 1.79 | 1.80 | +0.8% |
| Bayern Munich -2.5 | 44% | 2.27 | 1.87 | -17.7% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 63% | 1.58 |
| SV Elversberg or Draw | 20% | 5.09 |
| Bayern Munich or Draw | 92% | 1.08 |
| SV Elversberg to win and Over 2.5 | 6% | 16.36 |
| Bayern Munich to win and Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| SV Elversberg clean sheet | 4% | 28.41 |
| Bayern Munich clean sheet | 35% | 2.89 |
Most likely scores
1-38.1%
0-37.6%
1-27.2%
0-26.8%
1-46.8%
Questions people ask
Who will win SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?
Our model gives SV Elversberg a 8% chance, the draw 12% and Bayern Munich 80%.
How many goals will there be in SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?
We expect about 4.4 goals (SV Elversberg 1.06, Bayern Munich 3.35). Over 2.5 goals has a 82% chance.
Will both teams score in SV Elversberg vs Bayern Munich?
Both teams to score has a 63% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-3, with a 8.1% chance, followed by 0-3 and 1-2.
