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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe)
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 12 Sept, 23:00 UTC

Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe) prediction

Mario Alberto Kempes

Talleres (Córdoba)Home
1.28 : 1.12
expected goals
Unión (Santa Fe)Away
39%Talleres
29%Draw
32%Unión (SF)
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe) is Talleres (Córdoba) to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Talleres (Córdoba) to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Talleres (Córdoba) 1.3, Unión (Santa Fe) 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
50%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
78% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Unión (Santa Fe) to win
32% chancePrice 3.50+11.0% value2 units

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Talleres (Córdoba) 39%, the draw 29% and Unión (Santa Fe) 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Talleres (Córdoba) the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Talleres (Córdoba) took 2 points from their last 5 games and Unión (Santa Fe) took 9 from 5. Unión (Santa Fe) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Talleres (Córdoba) won 2 of their last 9 games at home. Unión (Santa Fe) won 4 of their last 12 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Talleres (Córdoba) score 0.9 goals a game and let in 1.0. Unión (Santa Fe) score 1.8 and let in 1.6. Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Talleres (Córdoba) games and 13 of Unión (Santa Fe) games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Talleres (Córdoba) won 0 and Unión (Santa Fe) won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Unión (Santa Fe) 1, Talleres (Córdoba) 1.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 78% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe): Talleres (Córdoba) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Talleres (Córdoba) host Unión (Santa Fe) in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 12 Sept, 23:00 at Mario Alberto Kempes. Our prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe) is Talleres (Córdoba) to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

Talleres (Córdoba) form

Talleres (Córdoba) have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

Unión (Santa Fe) form

Unión (Santa Fe) have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Talleres (Córdoba) won 0, Unión (Santa Fe) won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Unión (Santa Fe) 1, Talleres (Córdoba) 1.

Our call

We expect Talleres (Córdoba) to score about 1.3 goals and Unión (Santa Fe) about 1.1. That points to Talleres (Córdoba) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Unión (Santa Fe) to win at 3.50.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Talleres Unión (SF)
Games played2020
Wins68
Draws65
Losses87
Goals scored1835
Goals conceded2032
Scored per game0.91.8
Conceded per game1.01.6
Home record2W 3D 4L4W 2D 2L
Away record4W 3D 4L4W 3D 5L
Clean sheets40%5%
Both teams scored30%75%
Over 2.5 goals35%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Talleres (Córdoba) to win39%2.552.20-13.7%
A Draw29%3.443.00-12.7%
Unión (Santa Fe) to win32%3.153.50+11.0%
Over 2.5 goals42%2.402.25-6.1%
Under 2.5 goals58%1.721.57-8.5%
Talleres (Córdoba) -0.542%2.362.10-11.2%
Unión (Santa Fe) +0.558%1.731.63-6.2%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals70%1.43
Over 2.5 goals43%2.32
Over 3.5 goals22%4.50
Both teams to score50%2.02
Talleres (Córdoba) or Draw68%1.46
Unión (Santa Fe) or Draw61%1.64
Talleres (Córdoba) to win and Over 2.521%4.75
Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.517%6.02
Talleres (Córdoba) clean sheet32%3.08
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet28%3.60

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.8%
1-010.8%
0-09.8%
0-19.4%
2-18.3%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

Our prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe) is Talleres (Córdoba) to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Talleres (Córdoba) to score 1.3 goals and Unión (Santa Fe) 1.1.

Will both teams score in Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

Both teams to score has a 50% chance. Both sides scored in 6 of Talleres (Córdoba) last 20 games and 15 of Unión (Santa Fe) last 20.

How are Talleres (Córdoba) playing?

Talleres (Córdoba) have 6 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 18 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home they have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read L, D, D, L, L, newest first.

How are Unión (Santa Fe) playing?

Unión (Santa Fe) have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses from 12. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Talleres (Córdoba) and Unión (Santa Fe) last met?

It ended Unión (Santa Fe) 1, Talleres (Córdoba) 1. In the last 1 meeting Talleres (Córdoba) won 0 and Unión (Santa Fe) won 0.

What is the best bet for Talleres (Córdoba) vs Unión (Santa Fe)?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.29, with a 78% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.