Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Bengals to win

63% chancePrice -1981 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Buccaneers to win

37% chancePrice +1641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Cincinnati Bengals 63% and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 37%. The bookmakers agree and make Cincinnati Bengals the favourite at -198.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Cincinnati Bengals won 4 of their last 5 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 3 of their last 5. Cincinnati Bengals come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Cincinnati Bengals won 5 of their last 11 games at home. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Cincinnati Bengals score 24.7 points a game and let in 26.9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers score 20.9 and let in 23.2. Their recent games average 51.7 and 44.1 points in total, and the market line is 50.5.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Bengals to win has a 63% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 19 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Bengals +3.5 wins if Bengals win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.