Texas Rangers vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Rangers +3.5

76% chanceFair price -3122 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Diamondbacks -1.5

41% chancePrice +1421 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Arizona Diamondbacks 56% and Texas Rangers 44%. The bookmakers agree and make Arizona Diamondbacks the favourite at -143.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Arizona Diamondbacks won 4 of their last 5 and Texas Rangers won 2 of their last 5. Arizona Diamondbacks come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Arizona Diamondbacks won 5 of their last 9 games at home. Texas Rangers won 3 of their last 9 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Arizona Diamondbacks score 3.8 runs a game and let in 4.0. Texas Rangers score 4.9 and let in 4.5. Their recent games average 7.8 and 9.4 runs in total, and the market line is 8.5.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, Arizona Diamondbacks won 3 and Texas Rangers won 2. The last one ended Texas Rangers 6, Arizona Diamondbacks 5.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Rangers +3.5 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Diamondbacks +3.5 wins if Diamondbacks win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.