Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Tigre vs Rosario Central

Argentina Liga ProfesionalSun 13 Sept, 17:45 UTC

Tigre vs Rosario Central prediction

Monumental de Victoria (José Dellagiovanna)

TigreHome

1.00 : 0.95

expected goals

Rosario CentralAway

35%Tigre

33%Draw

32%Rosario Central

Eagle safe pickUnder 2.5 goals

1.45

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tigre vs Rosario Central is Tigre to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.45.

Prediction: Tigre to win
Chance: 35%
Most likely score: 0-0
Expected goals: Tigre 1.0, Rosario Central 0.9
Best bet: Under 2.5 goals at 1.45
Both teams to score: 40%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 2.5 goals

69% chanceFair price 1.451 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 0-0

15% chanceFair price 6.641 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Tigre 35%, the draw 33% and Rosario Central 32%. The bookmakers agree and make Tigre the favourite at 2.70.
2
Recent form
Tigre took 8 points from their last 5 games and Rosario Central took 8 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Tigre won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Rosario Central won 4 of their last 10 on the road.
4
Goals
Tigre score 0.8 goals a game and let in 0.8. Rosario Central score 1.3 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Tigre games and 11 of Rosario Central games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Tigre won 0 and Rosario Central won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Rosario Central 1, Tigre 1.
6
The safest bet
Under 2.5 goals has a 69% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Tigre vs Rosario Central: Tigre shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tigre host Rosario Central in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sun 13 Sept, 17:45 at Monumental de Victoria (José Dellagiovanna). Our prediction for Tigre vs Rosario Central is Tigre to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.45.

Tigre form

Tigre have 4 wins, 10 draws and 6 losses in their last 20 games, with 15 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 6 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read L, D, W, D, W, newest first.

Rosario Central form

Rosario Central have 10 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 21 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tigre won 0, Rosario Central won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Rosario Central 1, Tigre 1.

Our call

We expect Tigre to score about 1.0 goals and Rosario Central about 0.9. That points to Tigre to win, with 0-0 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.45. Our bold bet is Correct score 0-0 at 6.64.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Tigre	Rosario Central
Games played	20	20
Wins	4	10
Draws	10	5
Losses	6	5
Goals scored	15	26
Goals conceded	17	21
Scored per game	0.8	1.3
Conceded per game	0.8	1.1
Home record	3W 6D 1L	6W 3D 1L
Away record	1W 4D 5L	4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets	35%	25%
Both teams scored	45%	65%
Over 2.5 goals	25%	55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Tigre to win	35%	2.87	2.70	-5.8%
A Draw	33%	3.03	2.85	-6.1%
Rosario Central to win	32%	3.11	2.85	-8.4%
Over 1.5 goals	60%	1.67	1.54	-7.7%
Under 1.5 goals	40%	2.49	2.35	-5.8%
Tigre -0.5	36%	2.80	2.55	-9.0%
Rosario Central +0.5	64%	1.55	1.44	-7.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	59%	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	31%	3.23
Over 3.5 goals	13%	7.49
Both teams to score	40%	2.53
Tigre or Draw	68%	1.47
Rosario Central or Draw	65%	1.54
Tigre to win and Over 2.5	14%	6.98
Rosario Central to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.67
Tigre clean sheet	39%	2.58
Rosario Central clean sheet	37%	2.72

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

0-015.1%

1-114.3%

1-013.4%

0-112.7%

2-07.1%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tigre vs Rosario Central?

Our prediction for Tigre vs Rosario Central is Tigre to win, with a 35% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 0-0. Our best bet is Under 2.5 goals at 1.45.

What is the score prediction for Tigre vs Rosario Central?

0-0 is the most likely score, followed by 1-1 and 1-0. We expect Tigre to score 1.0 goals and Rosario Central 0.9.

Will both teams score in Tigre vs Rosario Central?

Both teams to score has a 40% chance. Both sides scored in 9 of Tigre last 20 games and 13 of Rosario Central last 20.

How are Tigre playing?

How are Rosario Central playing?

What happened when Tigre and Rosario Central last met?

It ended Rosario Central 1, Tigre 1. In the last 1 meeting Tigre won 0 and Rosario Central won 0.

What is the best bet for Tigre vs Rosario Central?

Under 2.5 goals at 1.45, with a 69% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.