Predictions › Liga MX › Tijuana vs Querétaro

Liga MXSat 12 Sept, 03:10 UTC

Tijuana vs Querétaro prediction

Estadio Caliente

TijuanaHome

1.53 : 1.01

expected goals

QuerétaroAway

48%Tijuana

27%Draw

24%Queretaro

Eagle safe pickTijuana or Draw

1.32

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tijuana vs Querétaro is Tijuana to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tijuana or Draw at 1.32.

Prediction: Tijuana to win
Chance: 48%
Most likely score: 1-1
Expected goals: Tijuana 1.5, Querétaro 1.0
Best bet: Tijuana or Draw at 1.32
Both teams to score: 51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Tijuana or Draw

76% chanceFair price 1.322 units

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Tijuana to win and Over 2.5

28% chanceFair price 3.581 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1
What our numbers say
The model gives Tijuana 48%, the draw 27% and Querétaro 24%. The bookmakers agree and make Tijuana the favourite at 2.10.
2
Recent form
Tijuana took 10 points from their last 5 games and Querétaro took 10 from 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.
3
Home and away
Tijuana won 6 of their last 10 games at home. Querétaro won 3 of their last 9 on the road.
4
Goals
Tijuana score 1.3 goals a game and let in 1.1. Querétaro score 1.1 and let in 1.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 10 of Tijuana games and 10 of Querétaro games in that run.
5
Head to head
In the last 1 meeting, Tijuana won 1 and Querétaro won 0 with 0 draws. The last one ended Querétaro 1, Tijuana 2.
6
The safest bet
Tijuana or Draw has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Tijuana vs Querétaro: Tijuana are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tijuana host Querétaro in the Liga MX on Sat 12 Sept, 03:10 at Estadio Caliente. Our prediction for Tijuana vs Querétaro is Tijuana to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tijuana or Draw at 1.32.

Tijuana form

Tijuana have 8 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 22 conceded. At home they have 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, W, D, W, newest first.

Querétaro form

Querétaro have 7 wins, 8 draws and 5 losses in their last 20 games, with 23 goals scored and 23 conceded. Away from home they have 3 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from 9. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Tijuana won 1, Querétaro won 0 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Querétaro 1, Tijuana 2.

Our call

We expect Tijuana to score about 1.5 goals and Querétaro about 1.0. That points to Tijuana to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Tijuana or Draw at 1.32. Our bold bet is Tijuana to win and Over 2.5 at 3.58.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

	Tijuana	Queretaro
Games played	20	20
Wins	8	7
Draws	7	8
Losses	5	5
Goals scored	26	23
Goals conceded	22	23
Scored per game	1.3	1.1
Conceded per game	1.1	1.1
Home record	6W 3D 1L	4W 4D 3L
Away record	2W 4D 4L	3W 4D 2L
Clean sheets	35%	30%
Both teams scored	55%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

Bet	Our chance	Fair	Price	Value
Tijuana to win	48%	2.06	2.10	+1.8%
A Draw	27%	3.68	3.35	-9.1%
Querétaro to win	24%	4.10	3.55	-13.4%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	2.01	1.83	-8.9%
Under 2.5 goals	50%	1.99	1.91	-4.0%
Tijuana -0.5	46%	2.17	2.05	-5.3%
Querétaro +0.5	54%	1.86	1.69	-9.0%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

Market	Chance	Fair price
Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.37
Over 2.5 goals	47%	2.14
Over 3.5 goals	25%	3.98
Both teams to score	51%	1.98
Tijuana or Draw	76%	1.32
Querétaro or Draw	52%	1.94
Tijuana to win and Over 2.5	28%	3.57
Querétaro to win and Over 2.5	13%	7.64
Tijuana clean sheet	36%	2.76
Querétaro clean sheet	22%	4.61

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.9%

1-011.3%

2-19.3%

2-09.2%

0-08.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tijuana vs Querétaro?

Our prediction for Tijuana vs Querétaro is Tijuana to win, with a 48% chance. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Tijuana or Draw at 1.32.

What is the score prediction for Tijuana vs Querétaro?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 2-1. We expect Tijuana to score 1.5 goals and Querétaro 1.0.

Will both teams score in Tijuana vs Querétaro?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 11 of Tijuana last 20 games and 11 of Querétaro last 20.

How are Tijuana playing?

How are Querétaro playing?

What happened when Tijuana and Querétaro last met?

It ended Querétaro 1, Tijuana 2. In the last 1 meeting Tijuana won 1 and Querétaro won 0.

What is the best bet for Tijuana vs Querétaro?

Tijuana or Draw at 1.32, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.