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Predictions › J1 League › Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba
J1 LeagueSun 13 Sept, 09:00 UTC

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba prediction

Tokyo Stadium

Tokyo Verdy 1969Home
1.35 : 1.14
expected goals
JEF United Ichihara-ChibaAway
41%Tokyo Verdy
28%Draw
31%JEF Utd Chiba
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.31

Quick answer

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Prediction
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win
Chance
41%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Tokyo Verdy 1969 1.4, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.31
Both teams to score
51%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
76% chanceFair price 1.312 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.391 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Tokyo Verdy 1969 41%, the draw 28% and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 31%. The bookmakers agree and make Tokyo Verdy 1969 the favourite at 2.20.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 took 2 points from their last 5 games and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba took 3 from 5. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 3 of their last 11 games at home. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Tokyo Verdy 1969 score 0.7 goals a game and let in 1.4. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba score 1.1 and let in 2.1. Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 games and 13 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 2 meetings, Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 1 and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 with 0 draws. The last one ended Tokyo Verdy 1969 1, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 0.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba: Tokyo Verdy 1969 shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Tokyo Verdy 1969 host JEF United Ichihara-Chiba in the J1 League on Sun 13 Sept, 09:00 at Tokyo Stadium. Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

Tokyo Verdy 1969 form

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba form

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 2 times in our records. Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 1, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1 and 0 games ended level. Last time out it finished Tokyo Verdy 1969 1, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 0.

Our call

We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score about 1.4 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba about 1.1. That points to Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.39.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Tokyo VerdyJEF Utd Chiba
Games played2020
Wins43
Draws72
Losses915
Goals scored1422
Goals conceded2942
Scored per game0.71.1
Conceded per game1.42.1
Home record3W 2D 6L2W 1D 7L
Away record1W 5D 3L1W 1D 8L
Clean sheets35%10%
Both teams scored40%55%
Over 2.5 goals30%65%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win41%2.452.20-10.1%
A Draw28%3.523.30-6.2%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win31%3.263.15-3.3%
Over 2.5 goals44%2.302.15-6.4%
Under 2.5 goals56%1.771.61-9.3%
Tokyo Verdy 1969 -0.543%2.352.10-10.5%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba +0.557%1.741.61-7.8%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals72%1.39
Over 2.5 goals45%2.21
Over 3.5 goals24%4.17
Both teams to score51%1.96
Tokyo Verdy 1969 or Draw69%1.44
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or Draw59%1.69
Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win and Over 2.523%4.38
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win and Over 2.517%6.01
Tokyo Verdy 1969 clean sheet32%3.12
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet26%3.86

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-113.5%
1-010.5%
0-09.1%
0-18.7%
2-18.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Our prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba is Tokyo Verdy 1969 to win, with a 41% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.31.

What is the score prediction for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect Tokyo Verdy 1969 to score 1.4 goals and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1.1.

Will both teams score in Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Both teams to score has a 51% chance. Both sides scored in 8 of Tokyo Verdy 1969 last 20 games and 11 of JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last 20.

How are Tokyo Verdy 1969 playing?

Tokyo Verdy 1969 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 14 goals scored and 29 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read D, L, L, D, L, newest first.

How are JEF United Ichihara-Chiba playing?

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba have 3 wins, 2 draws and 15 losses in their last 20 games, with 22 goals scored and 42 conceded. Away from home they have 1 win, 1 draw and 8 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, L, newest first.

What happened when Tokyo Verdy 1969 and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba last met?

It ended Tokyo Verdy 1969 1, JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 0. In the last 2 meetings Tokyo Verdy 1969 won 1 and JEF United Ichihara-Chiba won 1.

What is the best bet for Tokyo Verdy 1969 vs JEF United Ichihara-Chiba?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.31, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.