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Torino vs AS Roma prediction
Mon 14 Sept, 16:30 UTC, Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino1.01 - 1.89
expected goals
AS RomaTorino 19%Draw 23%AS Roma 57%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
AS Roma or Draw
⚡
Bold pick
Torino +0.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torino to win | 19% | 5.19 | 5.50 | +6.0% |
| A Draw | 23% | 4.26 | 3.95 | -7.3% |
| AS Roma to win | 57% | 1.75 | 1.54 | -11.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 | 1.80 | -0.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 | 2.00 | -11.1% |
| Torino +0.5 | 43% | 2.34 | 2.40 | +2.6% |
| AS Roma -0.5 | 57% | 1.75 | 1.51 | -13.4% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.02 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 1.83 |
| Torino or Draw | 43% | 2.34 |
| AS Roma or Draw | 81% | 1.24 |
| Torino to win and Over 2.5 | 12% | 8.67 |
| AS Roma to win and Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.65 |
| Torino clean sheet | 15% | 6.63 |
| AS Roma clean sheet | 36% | 2.76 |
Most likely scores
1-111.1%
1-29.9%
0-29.8%
0-19.7%
1-36.3%
Questions people ask
Who will win Torino vs AS Roma?
Our model gives Torino a 19% chance, the draw 23% and AS Roma 57%.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.9 goals (Torino 1.01, AS Roma 1.89). Over 2.5 goals has a 56% chance.
Will both teams score in Torino vs AS Roma?
Both teams to score has a 55% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 11.1% chance, followed by 1-2 and 0-2.