Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

Orioles +2.5

72% chanceFair price -2541 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Baltimore Orioles 49% and Toronto Blue Jays 51%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Baltimore Orioles won 2 of their last 5 and Toronto Blue Jays won 2 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Baltimore Orioles won 4 of their last 11 games at home. Toronto Blue Jays won 7 of their last 14 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Baltimore Orioles score 4.4 runs a game and let in 4.2. Toronto Blue Jays score 4.3 and let in 3.7. Their recent games average 8.6 and 8.1 runs in total.

5. 5
   Head to head

   In the last 5 meetings, Baltimore Orioles won 3 and Toronto Blue Jays won 2. The last one ended Toronto Blue Jays 6, Baltimore Orioles 4.

6. 6
   The safest bet

   Orioles +2.5 has a 72% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Orioles +3.5 wins if Orioles win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.