Troy Trojans vs Missouri Tigers prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Missouri to win

75% chanceFair price -2951 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

Troy to win

25% chanceFair price +2951 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Missouri Tigers 75% and Troy Trojans 25%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Missouri Tigers won 3 of their last 5 and Troy Trojans won 3 of their last 5. Both sides come in with a similar run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Missouri Tigers won 5 of their last 8 games at home. Troy Trojans won 4 of their last 7 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Missouri Tigers score 28.7 points a game and let in 18.6. Troy Trojans score 23.0 and let in 23.8. Their recent games average 47.3 and 46.8 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   Missouri to win has a 75% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Missouri +3.5 wins if Missouri win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.