PredictionsSouth AfricaTS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United
South African PremiershipSun 13 Sept, 17:30 South Africa time

TS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United prediction

Solomon Mahlangu Stadium

TS Galaxy FCHome
1.25 : 0.97
expected goals
Kruger UnitedAway
42%TS Galaxy
30%Draw
28%Kruger
Eagle safe pickUnder 3.5 goals
1.23

Quick answer

Our prediction for TS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United is TS Galaxy FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

Prediction
TS Galaxy FC to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
TS Galaxy FC 1.3, Kruger United 1.0
Best bet
Under 3.5 goals at 1.23
Both teams to score
45%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

Eagle safe pick

Under 3.5 goals
82% chanceFair price 1.232 units

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
14% chanceFair price 7.161 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives TS Galaxy FC 42%, the draw 30% and Kruger United 28%. The bookmakers agree and make TS Galaxy FC the favourite at 2.15.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    TS Galaxy FC took 6 points from their last 5 games and Kruger United took 1 from 5. TS Galaxy FC come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Goals

    TS Galaxy FC score 0.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Kruger United score 0.4 and let in 2.2. Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of TS Galaxy FC games and 3 of Kruger United games in that run.

  4. 4
    The safest bet

    Under 3.5 goals has a 82% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

TS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United: TS Galaxy FC shade it

The big picture

TS Galaxy FC host Kruger United in the South African Premiership on Sun 13 Sept, 17:30 at Solomon Mahlangu Stadium. Our prediction for TS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United is TS Galaxy FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

TS Galaxy FC form

TS Galaxy FC have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

Kruger United form

Kruger United have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games, with 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

Our call

We expect TS Galaxy FC to score about 1.3 goals and Kruger United about 1.0. That points to TS Galaxy FC to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.16.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

TS GalaxyKruger
Games played205
Wins20
Draws81
Losses104
Goals scored172
Goals conceded3211
Scored per game0.80.4
Conceded per game1.62.2
Home record1W 3D 6L0W 0D 3L
Away record1W 5D 4L0W 1D 1L
Clean sheets20%20%
Both teams scored50%40%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
TS Galaxy FC to win42%2.392.15-10.1%
A Draw30%3.312.90-12.4%
Kruger United to win28%3.573.40-4.8%
Over 2.5 goals38%2.612.40-8.2%
Under 2.5 goals62%1.621.49-8.1%
TS Galaxy FC -0.543%2.332.10-10.0%
Kruger United +0.557%1.751.61-8.3%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals66%1.52
Over 2.5 goals38%2.62
Over 3.5 goals18%5.43
Both teams to score45%2.22
TS Galaxy FC or Draw72%1.39
Kruger United or Draw58%1.72
TS Galaxy FC to win and Over 2.521%4.86
Kruger United to win and Over 2.513%7.64
TS Galaxy FC clean sheet38%2.64
Kruger United clean sheet29%3.48

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-114.0%
1-012.8%
0-011.7%
0-19.8%
2-08.5%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win TS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United?

Our prediction for TS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United is TS Galaxy FC to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Under 3.5 goals at 1.23.

What is the score prediction for TS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 1-0 and 0-0. We expect TS Galaxy FC to score 1.3 goals and Kruger United 1.0.

Will both teams score in TS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United?

Both teams to score has a 45% chance. Both sides scored in 10 of TS Galaxy FC last 20 games and 2 of Kruger United last 5.

How are TS Galaxy FC playing?

TS Galaxy FC have 2 wins, 8 draws and 10 losses in their last 20 games, with 17 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 1 win, 3 draws and 6 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read D, W, D, L, D, newest first.

How are Kruger United playing?

Kruger United have 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 games, with 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. Away from home they have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from 2. Their last 5 results read L, L, L, D, L, newest first.

What is the best bet for TS Galaxy FC vs Kruger United?

Under 3.5 goals at 1.23, with a 82% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.