Predictions › Bundesliga › TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart
TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
Sat 12 Sept, 16:30 Kenya time, PreZero Arena
TSG Hoffenheim1.96 - 1.74
expected goals
VfB StuttgartHoffenheim 43%Draw 23%Stuttgart 34%
Our three picks
✓
Safest pick
Over 2.5 goals
⚡
Bold pick
TSG Hoffenheim to win and Over 2.5
No value bet here: at the current prices the bookmaker is not giving more than our model thinks is fair. We would rather say so than force one.
Price check against DraftKings
Our chance mixes the model with the market. Value is how much the price pays above our fair price.
| Bet | Our chance | Fair | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSG Hoffenheim to win | 43% | 2.32 | 2.25 | -3.0% |
| A Draw | 23% | 4.44 | 3.90 | -12.2% |
| VfB Stuttgart to win | 34% | 2.91 | 2.60 | -10.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 | 1.83 | -7.3% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 49% | 2.02 | 1.95 | -3.5% |
| TSG Hoffenheim -0.5 | 43% | 2.32 | 2.20 | -5.2% |
| VfB Stuttgart +0.5 | 57% | 1.76 | 1.59 | -9.6% |
Goals and other markets
| Market | Chance | Fair price |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | 71% | 1.40 |
| TSG Hoffenheim or Draw | 66% | 1.52 |
| VfB Stuttgart or Draw | 57% | 1.76 |
| TSG Hoffenheim to win and Over 2.5 | 34% | 2.94 |
| VfB Stuttgart to win and Over 2.5 | 27% | 3.72 |
| TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet | 18% | 5.70 |
| VfB Stuttgart clean sheet | 14% | 7.09 |
Most likely scores
1-18.9%
2-18.3%
1-27.3%
2-27.2%
3-15.4%
Questions people ask
Who will win TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
Our model gives TSG Hoffenheim a 43% chance, the draw 23% and VfB Stuttgart 34%.
How many goals will there be in TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
We expect about 3.7 goals (TSG Hoffenheim 1.96, VfB Stuttgart 1.74). Over 2.5 goals has a 71% chance.
Will both teams score in TSG Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
Both teams to score has a 71% chance according to our model.
What is the most likely score?
1-1, with a 8.9% chance, followed by 2-1 and 1-2.