UConn Huskies vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles prediction

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

UConn +19.5

74% chanceFair price -2851 unit

⚡

Eagle bold pick

UConn to win

28% chanceFair price +2601 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives Southern Miss Golden Eagles 72% and UConn Huskies 28%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 1 of their last 5 and UConn Huskies won 4 of their last 5. UConn Huskies come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Home and away

   Southern Miss Golden Eagles won 4 of their last 7 games at home. UConn Huskies won 3 of their last 6 on the road.

4. 4
   Scoring

   Southern Miss Golden Eagles score 30.7 points a game and let in 25.4. UConn Huskies score 36.3 and let in 26.5. Their recent games average 56.1 and 62.8 points in total.

5. 5
   The safest bet

   UConn +19.5 has a 74% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 12 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. Southern Miss +3.5 wins if Southern Miss win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.