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Predictions › Argentina Liga Profesional › Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente
Argentina Liga ProfesionalSat 19 Sept, 19:45 UTC

Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente prediction

15 de Abril

Unión (Santa Fe)Home
1.51 : 1.27
expected goals
IndependienteAway
42%Unión (SF)
27%Draw
31%Independiente
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente is Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Unión (Santa Fe) to win
Chance
42%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Unión (Santa Fe) 1.5, Independiente 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.5
26% chanceFair price 3.781 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Unión (Santa Fe) 42%, the draw 27% and Independiente 31%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Unión (Santa Fe) took 9 points from their last 5 games and Independiente took 7 from 5. Unión (Santa Fe) come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Unión (Santa Fe) won 4 of their last 8 games at home. Independiente won 4 of their last 11 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Unión (Santa Fe) score 1.8 goals a game and let in 1.6. Independiente score 1.3 and let in 1.3. Over 2.5 goals landed in 13 of Unión (Santa Fe) games and 9 of Independiente games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 1 meeting, Unión (Santa Fe) won 0 and Independiente won 0 with 1 draw. The last one ended Independiente 4, Unión (Santa Fe) 4.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente: Unión (Santa Fe) shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Unión (Santa Fe) host Independiente in the Argentina Liga Profesional on Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 at 15 de Abril. Our prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente is Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Unión (Santa Fe) form

Unión (Santa Fe) have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Independiente form

Independiente have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 1 time in our records. Unión (Santa Fe) won 0, Independiente won 0 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Independiente 4, Unión (Santa Fe) 4.

Our call

We expect Unión (Santa Fe) to score about 1.5 goals and Independiente about 1.3. That points to Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.5 at 3.78.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Unión (SF)Independiente
Games played2020
Wins88
Draws54
Losses78
Goals scored3526
Goals conceded3226
Scored per game1.81.3
Conceded per game1.61.3
Home record4W 2D 2L4W 2D 3L
Away record4W 3D 5L4W 2D 5L
Clean sheets5%30%
Both teams scored75%50%
Over 2.5 goals65%45%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.90
Over 3.5 goals30%3.30
Both teams to score57%1.76
Unión (Santa Fe) or Draw69%1.45
Independiente or Draw58%1.73
Unión (Santa Fe) to win and Over 2.526%3.78
Independiente to win and Over 2.519%5.26
Unión (Santa Fe) clean sheet28%3.55
Independiente clean sheet22%4.53

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.6%
2-19.0%
1-08.7%
1-27.5%
0-17.2%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente?

Our prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente is Unión (Santa Fe) to win, with a 42% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Unión (Santa Fe) to score 1.5 goals and Independiente 1.3.

Will both teams score in Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 15 of Unión (Santa Fe) last 20 games and 10 of Independiente last 20.

How are Unión (Santa Fe) playing?

Unión (Santa Fe) have 8 wins, 5 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 35 goals scored and 32 conceded. At home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Independiente playing?

Independiente have 8 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses in their last 20 games, with 26 goals scored and 26 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses from 11. Their last 5 results read W, L, D, W, L, newest first.

What happened when Unión (Santa Fe) and Independiente last met?

It ended Independiente 4, Unión (Santa Fe) 4. In the last 1 meeting Unión (Santa Fe) won 0 and Independiente won 0.

What is the best bet for Unión (Santa Fe) vs Independiente?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.