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Predictions › United States › UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green
College FootballSat 12 Sept, 15:45 United States time

UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green prediction

DATCU Stadium

UNLV RebelsAway
29.8 : 27.7
projected points
North Texas Mean GreenHome
58%UNLV
42%North Texas
Eagle safe pickNorth Texas +13
-313

Quick answer

Our prediction for UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green is UNLV Rebels to win, with a 58% chance. We project UNLV Rebels 29.8 and North Texas Mean Green 27.7. Our best bet is North Texas +13 at -313.

Prediction
UNLV Rebels to win
Chance
58%
Projected score
UNLV Rebels 30, North Texas Mean Green 28
Projected total
57.5 points
Best bet
North Texas +13 at -313

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One injury, one turnover or one late score can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

North Texas +13
76% chanceFair price -3132 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

North Texas to win
42% chancePrice +1361 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives North Texas Mean Green 42% and UNLV Rebels 58%. The bookmakers agree and make UNLV Rebels the favourite at -162.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    North Texas Mean Green won 3 of their last 5 and UNLV Rebels won 2 of their last 5. North Texas Mean Green come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    North Texas Mean Green won 5 of their last 6 games at home. UNLV Rebels won 5 of their last 8 on the road.

  4. 4
    Scoring

    North Texas Mean Green score 43.3 points a game and let in 30.2. UNLV Rebels score 31.8 and let in 26.9. Their recent games average 73.5 and 58.7 points in total, and the market line is 57.5.

  5. 5
    The safest bet

    North Texas +13 has a 76% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green: UNLV Rebels are favourites

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

North Texas Mean Green host UNLV Rebels in the College Football on Sat 12 Sept, 15:45 at DATCU Stadium. Our prediction for UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green is UNLV Rebels to win, with a 58% chance. We project UNLV Rebels 29.8 and North Texas Mean Green 27.7. Our best bet is North Texas +13 at -313.

North Texas Mean Green form

North Texas Mean Green have 10 wins and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 563 points scored and 393 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

UNLV Rebels form

UNLV Rebels have 8 wins and 5 losses in their last 13 games, with 413 points scored and 350 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

Our call

We expect UNLV Rebels to score about 29.8 points and North Texas Mean Green about 27.7. That points to UNLV Rebels to win. Our safest bet is North Texas +13 at -313. Our bold bet is North Texas to win at +136.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 13 games in all competitions.

North TexasUNLV
Games played1313
Wins108
Losses35
Points scored563413
Points conceded393350
Scored per game43.331.8
Conceded per game30.226.9
Home record5W 1L3W 2L
Away record5W 2L5W 3L

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
North Texas to win42%+139+136-1.1%
UNLV to win58%-139-162-6.1%
North Texas +352%-110-105+2.4%
UNLV -348%+110-115-11.1%
Over 57.5 points50%+100-112-5.4%
Under 57.5 points50%-100-108-3.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

North Texas spreadCoversFair
North Texas -4.534%+193
North Texas -0.544%+129
North Texas +2.551%-105
North Texas +5.559%-141
North Texas +9.568%-212
Total pointsOverUnder
50.567%33%
54.557%43%
57.550%50%
60.543%57%
64.533%67%

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. North Texas +3.5 wins if North Texas win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.

Questions people ask

Who will win UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green?

Our prediction for UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green is UNLV Rebels to win, with a 58% chance. We project UNLV Rebels 29.8 and North Texas Mean Green 27.7. Our best bet is North Texas +13 at -313.

What is the projected score for UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green?

We project UNLV Rebels 29.8 and North Texas Mean Green 27.7, about 57.5 points in total.

How are North Texas Mean Green playing?

North Texas Mean Green have 10 wins and 3 losses in their last 13 games, with 563 points scored and 393 conceded. At home they have 5 wins and 1 loss from 6. Their last 5 results read L, W, L, W, W, newest first.

How are UNLV Rebels playing?

UNLV Rebels have 8 wins and 5 losses in their last 13 games, with 413 points scored and 350 conceded. Away from home they have 5 wins and 3 losses from 8. Their last 5 results read W, L, L, L, W, newest first.

What is the best bet for UNLV Rebels vs North Texas Mean Green?

North Texas +13 at -313, with a 76% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.