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Predictions › J1 League › Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama
J1 LeagueSun 13 Sept, 09:30 UTC

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama prediction

Saitama Stadium 2002

Urawa Red DiamondsHome
1.44 : 1.34
expected goals
Fagiano OkayamaAway
39%Urawa Reds
27%Draw
34%Okayama
Eagle safe pickOver 1.5 goals
1.29

Quick answer

Our prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama is Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Prediction
Urawa Red Diamonds to win
Chance
39%
Most likely score
1-1
Expected goals
Urawa Red Diamonds 1.4, Fagiano Okayama 1.3
Best bet
Over 1.5 goals at 1.29
Both teams to score
57%

Note: This is our view from the numbers, not a sure thing. One goal, one injury or one red card can change any game.

The eagle's three picks

✓

Eagle safe pick

Over 1.5 goals
77% chanceFair price 1.292 units
⚡

Eagle bold pick

Correct score 1-1
13% chanceFair price 7.891 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

  1. 1
    What our numbers say

    The model gives Urawa Red Diamonds 39%, the draw 27% and Fagiano Okayama 34%. The bookmakers agree and make Urawa Red Diamonds the favourite at 2.35.

  2. 2
    Recent form

    Urawa Red Diamonds took 9 points from their last 5 games and Fagiano Okayama took 10 from 5. Fagiano Okayama come in with the better run.

  3. 3
    Home and away

    Urawa Red Diamonds won 3 of their last 10 games at home. Fagiano Okayama won 4 of their last 10 on the road.

  4. 4
    Goals

    Urawa Red Diamonds score 1.4 goals a game and let in 1.6. Fagiano Okayama score 1.4 and let in 1.4. Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Urawa Red Diamonds games and 11 of Fagiano Okayama games in that run.

  5. 5
    Head to head

    In the last 3 meetings, Urawa Red Diamonds won 1 and Fagiano Okayama won 1 with 1 draw. The last one ended Urawa Red Diamonds 0, Fagiano Okayama 2.

  6. 6
    The safest bet

    Over 1.5 goals has a 77% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Match preview

Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama: Urawa Red Diamonds shade it

By the EagleEyeOdds desk

The big picture

Urawa Red Diamonds host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League on Sun 13 Sept, 09:30 at Saitama Stadium 2002. Our prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama is Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

Urawa Red Diamonds form

Urawa Red Diamonds have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

Fagiano Okayama form

Fagiano Okayama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

Head to head

These two have met 3 times in our records. Urawa Red Diamonds won 1, Fagiano Okayama won 1 and 1 game ended level. Last time out it finished Urawa Red Diamonds 0, Fagiano Okayama 2.

Our call

We expect Urawa Red Diamonds to score about 1.4 goals and Fagiano Okayama about 1.3. That points to Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with 1-1 the most likely score. Our safest bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29. Our bold bet is Correct score 1-1 at 7.89.

Note: This preview is written from our data and updates as new results and prices come in.

Team records

Last 20 games in all competitions.

Urawa RedsOkayama
Games played2020
Wins79
Draws44
Losses97
Goals scored2929
Goals conceded3127
Scored per game1.41.4
Conceded per game1.61.4
Home record3W 3D 4L5W 2D 3L
Away record4W 1D 5L4W 2D 4L
Clean sheets25%35%
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals45%55%

Note: W is a win, D a draw and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against DraftKings

BetOur chanceFairPriceValue
Urawa Red Diamonds to win39%2.572.35-8.5%
A Draw27%3.743.45-7.7%
Fagiano Okayama to win34%2.912.85-2.2%
Over 2.5 goals51%1.951.83-6.2%
Under 2.5 goals49%2.051.87-8.7%
Urawa Red Diamonds -0.541%2.462.20-10.5%
Fagiano Okayama +0.559%1.691.56-7.7%

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Goals and other markets

MarketChanceFair price
Over 1.5 goals77%1.29
Over 2.5 goals53%1.90
Over 3.5 goals30%3.28
Both teams to score57%1.75
Urawa Red Diamonds or Draw66%1.52
Fagiano Okayama or Draw61%1.64
Urawa Red Diamonds to win and Over 2.524%4.12
Fagiano Okayama to win and Over 2.521%4.72
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet26%3.83
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet24%4.23

Note: Fair price is what a bet should pay if our chance is right. If your bookmaker offers more than this, the bet has value.

Most likely scores

1-112.7%
2-18.6%
1-08.2%
1-28.0%
0-17.6%

Note: Even the most likely score only lands about one time in eight. Keep correct score bets small.

Questions people ask

Who will win Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama?

Our prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama is Urawa Red Diamonds to win, with a 39% chance, but it is a close call. The most likely score is 1-1. Our best bet is Over 1.5 goals at 1.29.

What is the score prediction for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama?

1-1 is the most likely score, followed by 2-1 and 1-0. We expect Urawa Red Diamonds to score 1.4 goals and Fagiano Okayama 1.3.

Will both teams score in Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama?

Both teams to score has a 57% chance. Both sides scored in 12 of Urawa Red Diamonds last 20 games and 12 of Fagiano Okayama last 20.

How are Urawa Red Diamonds playing?

Urawa Red Diamonds have 7 wins, 4 draws and 9 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 31 conceded. At home they have 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, W, L, L, newest first.

How are Fagiano Okayama playing?

Fagiano Okayama have 9 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in their last 20 games, with 29 goals scored and 27 conceded. Away from home they have 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from 10. Their last 5 results read W, W, L, D, W, newest first.

What happened when Urawa Red Diamonds and Fagiano Okayama last met?

It ended Urawa Red Diamonds 0, Fagiano Okayama 2. In the last 3 meetings Urawa Red Diamonds won 1 and Fagiano Okayama won 1.

What is the best bet for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Fagiano Okayama?

Over 1.5 goals at 1.29, with a 77% chance.

Note: Answers change as prices move. We check every game again every 30 minutes.