UT Martin Skyhawks vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction

The eagle's three picks

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Eagle safe pick

West Virginia -31.5

73% chanceFair price -2761 unit

Note: Safe is the bet most likely to win. Value is where the price pays more than it should. Bold pays more but loses more often. A unit is your normal stake.

Why we think this

1. 1
   What our numbers say

   The model gives West Virginia Mountaineers 100% and UT Martin Skyhawks 0%. There are no bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model on its own.

2. 2
   Recent form

   West Virginia Mountaineers won 3 of their last 5 and UT Martin Skyhawks won 0 of their last 1. West Virginia Mountaineers come in with the better run.

3. 3
   Scoring

   West Virginia Mountaineers score 21.5 points a game and let in 34.0. UT Martin Skyhawks score 10.0 and let in 42.0. Their recent games average 55.5 and 52.0 points in total, and the market line is 55.5.

4. 4
   The safest bet

   West Virginia -31.5 has a 73% chance, the highest of the bets worth taking here.

Note: Every reason here comes from real results and real prices. We do not guess and we do not copy tipsters.

Team records

Last 11 games in all competitions.

Note: W is a win and L a loss. A team with more games at home or away can look better or worse than it is.

Price check against Draft Kings

Note: Green value means the price pays more than our fair price. We only call it a value pick from 3% up, because small gaps can be noise.

Spread and total at every line

Note: A spread gives one team a head start. West Virginia +3.5 wins if West Virginia win or lose by 3 or fewer. If the result lands exactly on the line, your stake comes back.